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A U.S. CLIVAR project to assess and compare the responses of global climate...
The U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) working group on drought recently initiated a series of global climate model simulations forced with idealized SST...- publication PDF
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Conceptualizing confidence: A multisited qualitative analysis in a severe...
Confidence is a concept important to weather prediction, shaping how risk information is created, shared, understood, and acted upon. For forecasters in the National Weather...- publication PDF
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Deep learning forecast uncertainty for precipitation over the western United States
Reliably quantifying uncertainty in precipitation forecasts remains a critical challenge. This work examines the application of a deep learning (DL) architecture, Unet, for...- publication PDF
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Assessing the uptake of persistent identifiers by research infrastructure users
Significant progress has been made in the past few years in the development of recommendations, policies, and procedures for creating and promoting citations to data sets,...- publication PDF
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A unifying framework for metrics for aggregating the climate effect of...
Multi-gas approaches to climate change policies require a metric establishing 'equivalences' among emissions of various species. Climate scientists and economists have proposed...- publication PDF
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Nocturnal convection initiation during PECAN 2015
Nocturnal convection initiation (NCI) is more difficult to anticipate and forecast than daytime convection initiation (CI). A major component of the Plains Elevated Convection...- publication PDF
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The multi-thermal chromosphere
Context. Numerical simulations of the solar chromosphere predict a diverse thermal structure with both hot and cool regions. Observations of plage regions in particular...- publication PDF
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Combining artificial intelligence with physics-based methods for...
A modern renewable energy forecasting system blends physical models with artificial intelligence to aid in system operation and grid integration. This paper describes such a...- publication PDF
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Variability of thermosphere and ionosphere responses to solar flares
We investigated how the rise rate and decay rate of solar flares affect the thermosphere and ionosphere responses to them. Model simulations and data analysis were conducted for...- publication PDF
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Just what is “good”? Musings on hail forecast verification through...
Hail forecasts produced by the CAM-HAILCAST pseudo-Lagrangian hail size forecasting model were evaluated during the 2019, 2020, and 2021 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT)...- publication PDF
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Interferences with aerosol acidity quantification due to gas-phase ammonia...
Measurements of the mass concentration and chemical speciation of aerosols are important to investigate their chemical and physical processing from near emission sources to the...- publication PDF
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Effects of disturbed electric fields in the low-latitude and equatorial...
The 2015St. Patrick's Day geomagnetic storm with SYM-H value of -233nT is an extreme space weather event in the current 24th solar cycle. In this work, we investigated the main...- publication PDF
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Baroclinic transition of a long-lived Mesoscale Convective Vortex
The period 5 - 15 June 2003, during the field phase of the Bow Echo and Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) Experiment (BAMEX), was noteworthy for the wide variety of mesoscale...- publication PDF
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Comparison of modeled and measured ice nucleating particle composition in a...
The contribution of heterogeneous ice nucleation to the formation of cirrus cloud ice crystals is still not well quantified. This results in large uncertainties when predicting...- publication PDF
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Widespread pollution from secondary sources of organic aerosols during...
Secondary organic aerosol (SOA) from pollution sources is thought to be a minor component of organic aerosol (OA) and fine particulate matter beyond the urban scale. Here we...- publication PDF
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Preserving a unique archive for long-term solar variability studies
The McIntosh Archive consists of hand-drawn solar Carrington maps created by Patrick McIntosh from 1964 to 2009, using H, He 10830 angstrom, and photospheric magnetic...- publication PDF
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Data‐driven ensemble modeling of equatorial ionospheric electrodynamics: A...
The dayside equatorial ionospheric electrodynamics exhibit strong variability driven simultaneously by highly changeable external forcings that originate from the solar extreme...- publication PDF
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The Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2)
An overview of the Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2) is provided, including a discussion of the challenges encountered during its development and how they were...- publication PDF
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Forest disturbance feedbacks from bedrock to atmosphere using coupled...
The mountain pine beetle (MPB) has dramatically influenced high-elevation pine forests of western North America, with recent infestations causing millions of acres of forest...- publication PDF
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A systems approach to understanding how plants transformed earth's...
Terrestrial plants have transformed Earth's surface environments by altering water, energy, and biogeochemical cycles. Studying vegetation-climate interaction in deep time has...- publication PDF
