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Climate information for arbovirus risk monitoring: Opportunities and challenges
Arthropodborne viruses (arboviruses) have presented a health threat to humans throughout history. In recent years, however, high-profile arbovirus introductions and...- publication PDF
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Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot-dry events
Compound hot–dry events—co-occurring hot and dry extremes—frequently cause damages to human and natural systems, often exceeding separate impacts from heatwaves and droughts....- publication PDF
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Solar signal propagation: The role of gravity waves and stratospheric sudden ...
We use a troposphere-stratosphere model of intermediate complexity to study the atmospheric response to an idealized solar forcing in the subtropical upper stratosphere during...- publication PDF
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Is nightside outflow required to induce magnetospheric sawtooth oscillations
Ionospheric outflow plays an important role in the mass coupling between the ionosphere and the coupled solar wind-magnetosphere system. Previous modeling studies have shown...- publication PDF
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Thermospheric wind observation and simulation during the Nov 4, 2021 geomagne...
Thermospheric wind observations from high to mid latitudes are compared with the newly developed Multiscale Atmosphere Geospace Environment (MAGE) model for the Nov 3-4...- publication PDF
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A representative democracy to reduce interdependency in a multimodel ensemble
The collection of Earth system models available in the archive of phase 5 of CMIP (CMIP5) represents, at least to some degree, a sample of uncertainty of future climate...- publication PDF
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A real-time model-observation comparison of F2 peak electron densities during...
The first-principles, time-dependent Thermosphere-Ionosphere Nested Grid (TING) Model has been run automatically in real time to support the Upper Atmospheric Research...- publication PDF
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Biological and physical influences on the carbon isotope content of CO₂ in a ...
Considerable research has recently been devoted to understanding biogeochemical processes under winter snow cover, leading to enhanced appreciation of the importance of many...- publication PDF
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Assessing the impact of ICON/MIGHTI zonal and meridional winds on upper atmos...
Thermospheric data assimilation is limited due to the lack of continuous observation of the neutral state. Recently, the thermospheric wind data from the Michelson...- publication PDF
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Observations of total RONO₂ over the boreal forest: NOx sinks and HNO₃ sources
In contrast with the textbook view of remote chemistry where HNO₃ formation is the primary sink of nitrogen oxides, recent theoretical analyses show that formation of RONO₂...- publication PDF
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What is the importance of climate model bias when projecting the impacts of c...
Regional climate change impact (CCI) studies have widely involved downscaling and bias correcting (BC) global climate model (GCM)-projected climate for driving land surface...- publication PDF
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Differences in the Indonesian seaway in a coupled climate model and their rel...
A fully coupled general circulation model is used to investigate the hypothesis that during Pliocene times tectonic changes in the Indonesian seas modified the Indo-Pacific heat...- publication PDF
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NCAR’s real-time convection-allowing ensemble project
Beginning 7 April 2015, scientists at the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) began producing daily, real-time, experimental, 10-member ensemble forecasts with...- publication PDF
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Spatial model fitting for large datasets with applications to climate and mic...
Many problems in the environmental and biological sciences involve the analysis of large quantities of data. Further, the data in these problems are often subject to various...- publication PDF
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An inter-comparison of the mass budget of the Arctic sea ice in CMIP6 models
We compare the mass budget of the Arctic sea ice for 15 models submitted to the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), using new diagnostics that have not been...- publication PDF
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Ensemble forecasts of air quality in eastern China – Part 2: Evaluation of th...
An operational multimodel forecasting system for air quality has been developed to provide air quality services for urban areas of China. The initial forecasting system included...- publication PDF
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The relative contributions of tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures and a...
The recent slowdown in global mean surface temperature (GMST) warming during boreal winter is examined from a regional perspective using 10-member initial-condition ensembles...- publication PDF
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Lessons from climate modeling on the design and use of ensembles for crop mod...
Working with ensembles of crop models is a recent but important development in crop modeling which promises to lead to better uncertainty estimates for model projections and...- publication PDF
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Global distribution and interannual variations of mesospheric and lower therm...
Using the TIMED Doppler interferometer (TIDI) mesospheric and lower thermospheric neutral-wind multiyear data set (2002-2007) and NCAR TIME General Circulation Models (GCM) 1.2...- publication PDF
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CO retrievals based on MOPITT near-infrared observations
We report the first retrieval results of tropospheric carbon monoxide (CO) exclusively using near-infrared (NIR) radiances in the 2.3 μm CO overtone band observed by the...- publication PDF