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NCAR’s real-time convection-allowing ensemble project
Beginning 7 April 2015, scientists at the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) began producing daily, real-time, experimental, 10-member ensemble forecasts with...- publication PDF
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Spatial model fitting for large datasets with applications to climate and mic...
Many problems in the environmental and biological sciences involve the analysis of large quantities of data. Further, the data in these problems are often subject to various...- publication PDF
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An inter-comparison of the mass budget of the Arctic sea ice in CMIP6 models
We compare the mass budget of the Arctic sea ice for 15 models submitted to the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), using new diagnostics that have not been...- publication PDF
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Ensemble forecasts of air quality in eastern China – Part 2: Evaluation of th...
An operational multimodel forecasting system for air quality has been developed to provide air quality services for urban areas of China. The initial forecasting system included...- publication PDF
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The relative contributions of tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures and a...
The recent slowdown in global mean surface temperature (GMST) warming during boreal winter is examined from a regional perspective using 10-member initial-condition ensembles...- publication PDF
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Lessons from climate modeling on the design and use of ensembles for crop mod...
Working with ensembles of crop models is a recent but important development in crop modeling which promises to lead to better uncertainty estimates for model projections and...- publication PDF
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Global distribution and interannual variations of mesospheric and lower therm...
Using the TIMED Doppler interferometer (TIDI) mesospheric and lower thermospheric neutral-wind multiyear data set (2002-2007) and NCAR TIME General Circulation Models (GCM) 1.2...- publication PDF
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CO retrievals based on MOPITT near-infrared observations
We report the first retrieval results of tropospheric carbon monoxide (CO) exclusively using near-infrared (NIR) radiances in the 2.3 μm CO overtone band observed by the...- publication PDF
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Magnetic buoyancy and magnetorotational instabilities in stellar tachoclines ...
We present results from an analytical model for magnetic buoyancy and rotational instabilities in full spherical shell stellar tachoclines that include rotation, differential...- publication PDF
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Comparison of two methods for deriving the magnetic field in a filament channel
Understanding the magnetic structure of filament channels is difficult but essential for identifying the mechanism (s) responsible for solar eruptions. In this paper we...- publication PDF
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Large-eddy simulations of a drizzling, stratocumulus-topped marine boundary l...
Cloud water sedimentation and drizzle in a stratocumulus-topped boundary layer are the focus of an intercomparison of large-eddy simulations. The context is an idealized case...- publication PDF
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A comparison of vertical atmospheric wind profiles obtained from monostatic s...
The natural sound generated by an unmanned aerial vehicle is used in conjunction with tomography to remotely sense the virtual temperature and wind profiles of the atmosphere in...- publication PDF
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Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report: Tropospheric ozone from 1877 to 2016, o...
From the earliest observations of ozone in the lower atmosphere in the 19th century, both measurement methods and the portion of the globe observed have evolved and changed....- publication PDF
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Analysis of single-Alter-shielded and unshielded measurements of mixed and so...
Although precipitation has been measured for many centuries, precipitation measurements are still beset with significant inaccuracies. Solid precipitation is particularly...- publication PDF
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Rethinking failure: Engineering for climate extremes
How does our built environment make society vulnerable to climate extremes such as flooding? What knowledge is required by engineering designers and risk managers to address the...- publication PDF
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Ozone correlations between mid-tropospheric partial columns and the near-surf...
The current network of ground-based monitors for ozone (O3) is limited due to the spatial heterogeneity of O3 at the surface. Satellite measurements can provide a solution to...- publication PDF
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The effects of climate model similarity on probabilistic climate projections ...
Approaches for probability density function (pdf) development of future climate often assume that different climate models provide independent information, despite model...- publication PDF
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Upscale impact of mesoscale convective systems and its parameterization in an...
The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) typically contains several superclusters and numerous embedded mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). It is hypothesized here that the poorly...- publication PDF
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Pushing the Limit: A Hybrid Parallel Implementation of the Multi-resolution A...
The multi-resolution approximation (MRA) of Gaussian processes was recently proposed to conduct likelihood-based inference for massive spatial data sets. An advantage of the...- publication PDF
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Taiwan Area Mesoscale Experiment: Daily Operations Summary
The Taiwan Area Mesoscale Experiment, TAMEX, is a research program undertaken by scientist from the Republic of China and the United States to improve, through enhanced...- publication PDF