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The value of sustained ocean observations for sea ice predictions in the Bare...
Dynamical prediction systems have shown potential to meet the emerging need for seasonal forecasts of regional Arctic sea ice. Observationally constrained initial conditions are...- publication PDF
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Heterogeneous nucleation drives particle size segregation in sequential ozone...
Secondary organic aerosol formation via condensation of organic vapors onto existing aerosol transforms the chemical composition and size distribution of ambient aerosol, with...- publication PDF
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Eclipse-induced changes to topside ion composition and field-aligned ion flow...
We present in situ ion composition and velocity measurements during the August 2017 solar eclipse from the Enhanced Polar Outflow Probe (e-POP), which crossed the path of...- publication PDF
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On the sensitivity of precipitation in convection-permitting climate simulati...
This study evaluates the representation of precipitation in a set of multi-year convection-permitting sensitivity experiments over the European Alpine region. In the last few...- publication PDF
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Simulated differences in 21st century aridity due to different scenarios of g...
Aridity, defined as the ratio of precipitation (P) to potential evapotranspiration (PET) over land, is critical to natural ecosystems and agricultural production. Global climate...- publication PDF
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Impact of Chinese urbanization and aerosol emissions on the East Asian summer...
Impacts of urbanization and anthropogenic aerosols in China on the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) are investigated using version 5.1 of the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM5.1)...- publication PDF
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Statistical connection between the Madden–Julian oscillation and large daily ...
This study focuses on the impact of the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO)-as monitored by a well-known multivariate index-on large daily precipitation events in West Africa for...- publication PDF
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The effects of past hurricane experiences on evacuation intentions through ri...
Individuals' past experiences with a hazard can encompass many different aspects, which can influence how they judge and respond to a future hurricane risk. This study, which...- publication PDF
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Assimilation of satellite-retrieved sea ice concentration and prospects for s...
The current GFDL seasonal prediction system achieved retrospective sea ice extent (SIE) skill without direct sea ice data assimilation. Here we develop sea ice data...- publication PDF
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Isoprene emissions over Asia 1979-2012: Impact of climate and land-use changes
Due to the scarcity of observational constraints and the rapidly changing environment in East and Southeast Asia, isoprene emissions predicted by models are expected to bear...- publication PDF
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Arctic sea ice in CMIP6
We examine CMIP6 simulations of Arctic sea-ice area and volume. We find that CMIP6 models produce a wide spread of mean Arctic sea-ice area, capturing the observational estimate...- publication PDF
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A feasibility study of the radio occultation electron density retrieval aided...
Radio Occultation (RO) has been proven a powerful technique on profiling ionospheric electron density profile. The currently used Abel inversion in RO electron density profile...- publication PDF
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Decision making by Austin, Texas residents in hypothetical tornado scenarios
One of the goals of the Warning Project is to understand how people receive warnings of hazardous weather and subsequently use this information to make decisions. As part of the...- publication PDF
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Calendar effects on surface air temperature and precipitation based on model-...
Numerical modeling enables a comprehensive understanding not only of the Earth's system today, but also of the past. To date, a significant amount of time and effort has been...- publication PDF
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Changing seasonal sea ice predictor relationships in a changing Arctic climate
Seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice conditions often rely on statistical relationships of a set of predictors that have shown skill for historical conditions. However, with...- publication PDF
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Automated machine learning to evaluate the information content of tropospheri...
India is largely devoid of high-quality and reliable on-the-ground measurements of fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Ground-level PM2.5 concentrations are estimated from publicly...- publication PDF
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Kalman filter and analog schemes to post-process numerical weather predictions
Two new post-processing methods are proposed to reduce numerical-weather-prediction s systematic and random errors. The first method (ANKF) consists of running a post-processing...- publication PDF
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Parameterizing the impact of unresolved temperature variability on the largeâ...
Ocean circulation models have systematic errors in large-scale horizontal density gradients due to estimating the grid-cell-mean density by applying the nonlinear seawater...- publication PDF
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The persistent ionospheric responses over Japan after the impact of the 2011 ...
In this study, we report the persistent impacts of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake/tsunami on the ionosphere using the ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System and...- publication PDF
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Power spectrum of turbulent convection in the solar photosphere
The solar photosphere provides us with a laboratory for understanding turbulence in a layer where the fundamental processes of transport vary rapidly and a strongly...- publication PDF