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Investigation of ensemble variance as a measure of true forecast variance
The uncertainty in meteorological predictions is of interest for applications ranging from economic to recreational to public safety. One common method to estimate uncertainty...- publication PDF
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Observations and simulations of quasiperiodic ionospheric oscillations and...
A numerical simulation was performed to investigate quasiperiodic ionospheric oscillations that were observed with periods of 4-5 h by the ionosonde network (Okinawa, Yamagawa,...- publication PDF
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Vertical resolution requirements in atmospheric simulation
The role of vertical mesh spacing in the convergence of full-physics global atmospheric model solutions is examined for synoptic, mesoscale, and convective-scale horizontal...- publication PDF
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Impact of Doppler weather radar data on numerical forecast of Indian monsoon...
This work is a first assessment of utilizing Doppler Weather Radar (DWR) radial velocity and reflectivity in a mesoscale model for prediction of Bay of Bengal monsoon...- publication PDF
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Theoretical expressions for the ascent rate of moist deep convective thermals
An approximate analytic expression is derived for the ratio lambda of the ascent rate of moist deep convective thermals and the maximum vertical velocity within them; lambda is...- publication PDF
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Multi-model changes in El Niño teleconnections over North America in a...
We carry out climate simulations for 1880 - 2003 with GISS modelE driven by ten measured or estimated climate forcings. An ensemble of climate model runs is carried out for each...- publication PDF
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Process-oriented analysis of environmental conditions associated with...
An analysis of the environmental conditions associated with precipitation fog events is presented using 20 yr of historical observations taken in a region centered on New York,...- publication PDF
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Documentation of NCAR CCM1 Program Modules
This article does not have an abstract or article summary.- publication PDF
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GHOST Balloon Data Volume XI: Balloon 86C
Early Global Horizontal Sounding Technique (GHOST) balloon tests have resulted in valuable upper air wind data, particularly in the data-poor mid-latitudes over southern...- publication PDF
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Improved predictability of the troposphere using stratospheric final warmings
The final warming of the stratospheric polar vortex at the end of northern hemisphere winter is examined in ECMWF ERA-Interim reanalysis data and an ensemble of chemistry...- publication PDF
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Inter-hemispheric asymmetries in high-latitude electrodynamic forcing and...
Inter-hemispheric asymmetry (IHA) in Earth's ionosphere-thermosphere (IT) system can be associated with high-latitude forcing that intensifies during storm time, e.g., ion...- publication PDF
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Effects of vertical resolution and nonorographic gravity wave drag on the...
Horizontal resolution of general circulation models (GCMs) has significantly increased during the last decade, however these changes were not accompanied by similar changes in...- publication PDF
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Untangling microphysical impacts on deep convection applying a novel...
The suggested impact of pollution on deep convection dynamics, referred to as the convective invigoration, is investigated in simulations applying microphysical piggybacking and...- publication PDF
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A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost...
We present an approach to estimate the feedback from large-scale thawing of permafrost soils using a simplified, data-constrained model that combines three elements: soil carbon...- publication PDF
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VAPOR: A visualization package tailored to analyze simulation data in Earth...
Visualization is an essential tool for analysis of data and communication of findings in the sciences, and the Earth System Sciences (ESS) are no exception. However, within ESS,...- publication PDF
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Structural evolution of the Madden-Julian Oscillation from COSMIC radio...
The atmospheric temperature and specific humidity profiles derived from 4 years of Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC) radio...- publication PDF
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Impact of the dynamical core on the direct simulation of tropical cyclones...
This paper examines the impact of the dynamical core on the simulation of tropical cyclone (TC) frequency, distribution, and intensity. The dynamical core, the central fluid...- publication PDF
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Analysis of WRF-simulated diurnal boundary layer winds in eastern China...
The low-level diurnal winds for different locations of eastern China are documented using the June 2006-11 hourly model data simulated with the Weather Research and Forecasting...- publication PDF
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Biogeophysical effects of land-use and land-cover change not detectable in...
Land-use and land-cover changes (hereafter simply "land use") alter climates biogeophysically by affecting surface fluxes of energy and water. Yet, near-surface temperature...- publication PDF
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An eddy injection method for large-eddy simulations of tornado-like vortices
The structure and intensity of tornado-like vortices are examined using large-eddy simulations (LES) in an idealized framework. The analysis focuses on whether the simulated...- publication PDF
