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Thermalization and free decay in surface quasigeostrophic flows
We derive statistical equilibrium solutions of the truncated inviscid surface quasigeostrophic (SQG) equations, and verify the validity of these solutions at late times in...- publication PDF
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Marine ecosystem dynamics and biogeochemcal cycling in the Community Earth...
The authors compare Community Earth System Model results to marine observations for the 1990s and examine climate change impacts on biogeochemistry at the end of the twenty-...- publication PDF
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Source attribution of carbon monoxide in India and surrounding regions...
This study presents a CO source contribution analysis for the atmosphere of South Asia during January-February 2008. The approach includes into the Weather Research and...- publication PDF
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A 2 year forecast for a 60-80% chance of La Niña in 2017-2018
Historical observations show that one in two La Nina events last for two consecutive years. Despite their outsized impacts on drought, these 2 year La Nina are not predicted on...- publication PDF
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Formation of the equatorial thermosphere anomaly trough: Local time and...
This paper evaluates the formation and behavior of the equatorial thermosphere anomaly (ETA) trough in neutral temperature and mass density using the National Center for...- publication PDF
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A modeling study of the effects of aerosols on clouds and precipitation over...
The National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere Model (version 3.5) coupled with the MorrisonâGettelman two-moment cloud microphysics scheme is employed to...- publication PDF
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Determination and analysis of time series of CFC-11 (CCl3F) from FTIR solar...
The atmospheric concentration of CFC-11 (CCl3F) has declined in response to the phase-out of its production by the Montreal Protocol. Nevertheless, this atmospheric...- publication PDF
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Improving storm surge risk communication: Stakeholder perspectives
Storm surge associated with tropical and extratropical cyclones has a long history of causing death and destruction along our coastlines. With more than 123 million people...- publication PDF
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Analysis of the development mechanisms of a large-hail storm event on the...
A severe weather event is analyzed in terms of cell development, dynamics, and thermodynamics. The Mediterranean region is sporadically affected by severe weather events causing...- publication PDF
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Precise mean sea level measurements using the Global Positioning System
This paper describes the results of a sea level measurement test conducted off La Jolla, California, in November of 1991. The purpose of this test was to determine accurate sea...- publication PDF
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Medium-range ensemble sensitivity analysis of two extreme Pacific...
In this study, ensemble sensitivity analysis has been applied to examine the evolution of two extreme extratropical cyclones over the Pacific. Sensitivity using, as forecast...- publication PDF
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A review of uncertainties in global temperature projections over the...
Quantification of the uncertainties in future climate projections is crucial for the implementation of climate policies. Here a review of projections of global temperature...- publication PDF
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Increasing the skill of probabilistic forecasts: Understanding performance...
Four model-error schemes for probabilistic forecasts over the contiguous United States with the WRF-ARW mesoscale ensemble system are evaluated in regard to performance....- publication PDF
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Co-benefits of global and regional greenhouse gas mitigation for US air...
Policies to mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions will not only slow climate change but can also have ancillary benefits of improved air quality. Here we examine the co-...- publication PDF
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Calibration of antenna-radome and monument-multipath effect of GEONET--Part...
Phase maps for GSI/GEONET (Geographical Survey Institute/GPS Earth Observation NETwork) monuments and antennas obtained in Hatanaka et al. (2001) are evaluated by applying them...- publication PDF
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Allowances for evolving coastal flood risk under uncertain local sea-level rise
Estimates of future flood hazards made under the assumption of stationary mean sea level are biased low due to sea-level rise (SLR). However, adjustments to flood return levels...- publication PDF
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Tropospheric ozone assessment report: Tropospheric ozone from 1877 to 2016,...
From the earliest observations of ozone in the lower atmosphere in the 19th century, both measurement methods and the portion of the globe observed have evolved and changed....- publication PDF
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Continental Hydrologic Intercomparison Project, Phase 1: A large-scale...
High-resolution, coupled, process-based hydrology models, in which subsurface, land-surface, and energy budget processes are represented, have been applied at the basin-scale to...- publication PDF
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Multivariate quadrature for representing cloud condensation nuclei activity...
Atmospheric aerosol is composed of distinct multicomponent particles that are continuously modified as they are transported in the atmosphere. Resolving variability in particle...- publication PDF
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Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM2)
This report presents the details of the governing equations, physical parameterizations, and numerical algorithms defining the version of the NCAR Community Climate Model...- publication PDF
