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Towards a unified setup to simulate mid-latitude and tropical mesoscale...
Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are the main source of precipitation in the tropics and parts of the mid-latitudes and are responsible for high-impact weather worldwide....- publication PDF
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Multi-model study of HTAP II on sulfur and nitrogen deposition
This study uses multi-model ensemble results of 11 models from the second phase of Task Force Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution (HTAP II) to calculate the global sulfur (S)...- publication PDF
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Cloud and surface albedo feedbacks reshape 21st century warming in...
The relative importance of radiative feedbacks and emissions scenarios in controlling surface warming patterns is challenging to quantify across model generations. We analyze...- publication PDF
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A new verification approach? Using coupled natural-human models to evaluate...
In addition to measuring forecast accuracy in terms of errors in a tropical system's forecast track and other meteorological characteristics, it is important to measure the...- publication PDF
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Comparison of the neutral wind seasonal variation from midlatitude conjugate...
The seasonal variation of F region neutral wind from the midlatitude conjugate Fabry-Perot interferometer observations has been studied. The meridional wind at Palmer station...- publication PDF
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An objective analysis of the QBO in ERA-Interim and the Community Atmosphere...
The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) is the dominant mode of variability in the tropical stratosphere, which is in large part driven by upward propagating atmospheric waves. For...- publication PDF
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Uncertainty Analysis of a Radome Flush Orifice Air Motion System for the...
This analysis is intended to establish a detailed measurement uncertainty for the present radome air motion systems used at NCAR and to provide a working document that may be...- publication PDF
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Mobile doppler radar observations of a tornado in a supercell near Bassett,...
This is Part II of a paper detailing an analysis of high-resolution wind and reflectivity data collected by a mobile, W-band Doppler radar; the analysis depicts the near-surface...- publication PDF
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A U.S. CLIVAR project to assess and compare the responses of global climate...
The U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) working group on drought recently initiated a series of global climate model simulations forced with idealized SST...- publication PDF
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Conceptualizing confidence: A multisited qualitative analysis in a severe...
Confidence is a concept important to weather prediction, shaping how risk information is created, shared, understood, and acted upon. For forecasters in the National Weather...- publication PDF
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Deep learning forecast uncertainty for precipitation over the western United States
Reliably quantifying uncertainty in precipitation forecasts remains a critical challenge. This work examines the application of a deep learning (DL) architecture, Unet, for...- publication PDF
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Assessing the uptake of persistent identifiers by research infrastructure users
Significant progress has been made in the past few years in the development of recommendations, policies, and procedures for creating and promoting citations to data sets,...- publication PDF
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A unifying framework for metrics for aggregating the climate effect of...
Multi-gas approaches to climate change policies require a metric establishing 'equivalences' among emissions of various species. Climate scientists and economists have proposed...- publication PDF
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Nocturnal convection initiation during PECAN 2015
Nocturnal convection initiation (NCI) is more difficult to anticipate and forecast than daytime convection initiation (CI). A major component of the Plains Elevated Convection...- publication PDF
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The multi-thermal chromosphere
Context. Numerical simulations of the solar chromosphere predict a diverse thermal structure with both hot and cool regions. Observations of plage regions in particular...- publication PDF
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Combining artificial intelligence with physics-based methods for...
A modern renewable energy forecasting system blends physical models with artificial intelligence to aid in system operation and grid integration. This paper describes such a...- publication PDF
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Variability of thermosphere and ionosphere responses to solar flares
We investigated how the rise rate and decay rate of solar flares affect the thermosphere and ionosphere responses to them. Model simulations and data analysis were conducted for...- publication PDF
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Just what is “good”? Musings on hail forecast verification through...
Hail forecasts produced by the CAM-HAILCAST pseudo-Lagrangian hail size forecasting model were evaluated during the 2019, 2020, and 2021 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT)...- publication PDF
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Interferences with aerosol acidity quantification due to gas-phase ammonia...
Measurements of the mass concentration and chemical speciation of aerosols are important to investigate their chemical and physical processing from near emission sources to the...- publication PDF
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Effects of disturbed electric fields in the low-latitude and equatorial...
The 2015St. Patrick's Day geomagnetic storm with SYM-H value of -233nT is an extreme space weather event in the current 24th solar cycle. In this work, we investigated the main...- publication PDF
