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QBO changes in CMIP6 climate projections
Phase 6 of the Coupled-Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) is the first in which a significant number of models include a well-resolved stratosphere. Changes in equatorial...- publication PDF
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Predictability of Northern Hemisphere final stratospheric warmings and their...
Each spring, the climatological westerly winds of the Northern Hemisphere (NH) stratospheric polar vortex turn easterly as the stratospheric equator-to-pole temperature gradient...- publication PDF
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Long-term monitoring and evaluation of land development in a reclamation...
Land reclamation has occurred extensively worldwide to accommodate urbanization and economic development, especially in developing countries like China. However, we have a...- publication PDF
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A method to update model kinematic states by assimilating satellite-observed...
This study assesses the benefit of convective-scale data assimilation (DA) for model initialization using well-known functional relationships between lightning flash rate and...- publication PDF
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Improving forecasts for water management
Recent advances in seasonal to interannual hydroclimate predictions provide an opportunity for developing a proactive approach toward water management. This motivated a recent...- publication PDF
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Seasonal injection strategies for stratospheric aerosol geoengineering
Simulations of stratospheric aerosol geoengineering have typically considered injections at aconstant rate over the entire year. However, the seasonal variability of both...- publication PDF
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Assessing state-of-the-art capabilities for probing the atmospheric boundary...
To assess current capabilities for measuring flow within the atmospheric boundary layer, including within wind farms, the U.S. Department of Energy sponsored the eXperimental...- publication PDF
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Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change
Disastrous bushfires during the last months of 2019 and January 2020 affected Australia, raising the question to what extent the risk of these fires was exacerbated by...- publication PDF
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The roles of radiative forcing, sea surface temperatures, and atmospheric...
This study investigates the roles of radiative forcing, sea surface temperatures (SSTs), and atmospheric and land initial conditions in the summer warming episodes of the United...- publication PDF
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Dependence of the high-latitude lower thermospheric momentum forcing on the...
We analyze the forces acting on the high-latitude lower thermospheric wind system below 170 km for Southern Hemisphere summer conditions, as a function of the interplanetary...- publication PDF
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Statistical characterization of joule heating associated with ionospheric...
Ultra low frequency (ULF; 1 mHz ‐ several Hz) waves are key to energy transport within the geospace system, yet their contribution to Joule heating in the upper...- publication PDF
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Sensitivity of tropical cyclone rainfall to idealized global-scale forcings
Heavy rainfall and flooding associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) are responsible for a large number of fatalities and economic damage worldwide. Despite their large...- publication PDF
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Running dry: The U.S. Southwest's drift into a drier climate state
Changes in precipitation have far-reaching consequences on human society and ecosystems as has been demonstrated by recent severe droughts in California and the Oklahoma region....- publication PDF
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Effects of soil moisture on the responses of soil temperatures to climate...
At high latitudes, changes in soil moisture could alter soil temperatures independently of air temperature changes by interacting with the snow thermal rectifier. The authors...- publication PDF
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Revisiting sensitivity to horizontal grid spacing in convection-allowing...
Hourly accumulated precipitation forecasts from deterministic convection-allowing numerical weather prediction models with 3- and 1-km horizontal grid spacing were evaluated...- publication PDF
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Is the net cloud radiative effect constrained to be uniform over the...
Global radiative-convective equilibrium simulations are used to investigate the hypothesis that mutual interactions among cloud albedo, sea surface temperature gradients, and...- publication PDF
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A conservative semi-lagrangian discontinuous Galerkin scheme on the cubed sphere
The discontinuous Galerkin (DG) methods designed for hyperbolic problems arising from a wide range of applications are known to enjoy many computational advantages. DG methods...- publication PDF
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Wind speed forecasts of a mesoscale ensemble for large-scale wind farms in...
To facilitate wind power integration for the electric power grid operated by the Inner Mongolia Electric Power Corporation-a major electric power grid in China-a high-resolution...- publication PDF
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An upper-branch Brewer-Dobson circulation index for attribution of...
We find that wintertime temperature anomalies near 4 hPa and 50 degrees N/S are related, through dynamics, to anomalies in ozone and temperature, particularly in the tropical...- publication PDF
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An improved algorithm for low-level turbulence forecasting
A low-level turbulence (LLT) forecasting algorithm is proposed and implemented within the Graphical Turbulence Guidance (GTG) turbulence forecasting system. The LLT algorithm...- publication PDF