An ensemble covariance framework for quantifying forced climate variability and its time of emergence
Climate variability and its response to increasing greenhouse gases are important considerations for impacts and adaptation. Modeling studies commonly assess projected changes in variability in terms of changes in the variance of climate variables. Despite the distant and impactful covariations that climate variables can exhibit, the covariance response has received much less attention. Here, a novel ensemble framework is developed that facilitates a unified assessment of the response of the regional variances and covariances of a climate variable to imposed external forcings and their time of emergence from an unforced climate state.
document
http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7736tph
eng
geoscientificInformation
Text
publication
2016-01-01T00:00:00Z
publication
2018-05-01T00:00:00Z
Copyright 2018 American Meteorological Society (AMS).
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