Identification

Title

Persistent trends and geographic traits of heat waves in a changing climate

Abstract

By adopting a heatwave (HW) definition with a ∼4-year recurrence frequency at world hot spots, we first examined the 1940–2022 HW climatology and trends in lifespan (duration), severity and recurrence frequency, by comparing the first and last 20-year periods of this 83- year record. Generally, HWs are becoming more frequent and more severe in the extra-tropic and mid-latitude regions. Increased HWs are not temporally uniform and tend to cluster together, posing a one-two punch for ecosystems. North America, regions affected by HWs in the early 21st Century expanded by ∼47% relative to those in the mid-20th Century, contributed primarily by regions starting to be exposed to HWs in the early 21st Century. Mid-latitude basins are vulnerable areas. Geographic shifts can be attributed to adjustments in planetary wavelengths due to increased air viscosity (related to global warming). Polar amplified warming, leading to a reduced equator to pole temperature gradients and an overall reduction in zonal wind speeds across midlatitudes, promotes amplified planetary wave amplitudes, leading to more severe and persistent blockings and cutoffs, thus an increase in HW frequency, severity, and duration. Climate model simulations under a business-as-usual emission scenario corroborate trends in HW severity and lifespan increases, supported by a strong intermodal consensus. HW periods correspond to heightened planetary boundary layer (PBL) depths, which increase with eddy viscosity. The temperature-dependent nature of air viscosity underscores the similarity between trends in PBL depth and HW areal extent in a warming climate.

Resource type

document

Resource locator

Unique resource identifier

code

https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7tb1c6n

codeSpace

Dataset language

eng

Spatial reference system

code identifying the spatial reference system

Classification of spatial data and services

Topic category

geoscientificInformation

Keywords

Keyword set

keyword value

Text

originating controlled vocabulary

title

Resource Type

reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2016-01-01T00:00:00Z

Geographic location

West bounding longitude

East bounding longitude

North bounding latitude

South bounding latitude

Temporal reference

Temporal extent

Begin position

End position

Dataset reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2024-11-01T00:00:00Z

Frequency of update

Quality and validity

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Conformity

Data format

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Constraints related to access and use

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Use constraints

<style type="text/css"></style><span style="font-family:Arial;font-size:10pt;font-style:normal;" data-sheets-root="1">Copyright author(s). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.</span>

Limitations on public access

None

Responsible organisations

Responsible party

contact position

OpenSky Support

organisation name

UCAR/NCAR - Library

full postal address

PO Box 3000

Boulder

80307-3000

email address

opensky@ucar.edu

web address

http://opensky.ucar.edu/

name: homepage

responsible party role

pointOfContact

Metadata on metadata

Metadata point of contact

contact position

OpenSky Support

organisation name

UCAR/NCAR - Library

full postal address

PO Box 3000

Boulder

80307-3000

email address

opensky@ucar.edu

web address

http://opensky.ucar.edu/

name: homepage

responsible party role

pointOfContact

Metadata date

2025-07-10T19:57:47.965231

Metadata language

eng; USA