Pliocene warmth consistent with greenhouse gas forcing
With CO2 concentrations similar to today (410 ppm), the Pliocene Epoch offers insights into climate changes under a moderately warmer world. Previous work suggested a low zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient in the tropical Pacific during the Pliocene, the so-called "permanent El Nino." Here, we recalculate SSTs using the alkenone proxy and find moderate reductions in both the zonal and meridional SST gradients during the mid-Piacenzian warm period. These reductions are captured by coupled climate model simulations of the Pliocene, especially those that simulate weaker Walker circulation. We also produce a spatial reconstruction of mid-Piacenzian warm period Pacific SSTs that closely resembles both Pliocene and future, low-emissions simulations, a pattern that is, to a first order, diagnostic of weaker Walker circulation. Therefore, Pliocene warmth does not require drastic changes in the climate system-rather, it supports the expectation that the Walker circulation will weaken in the future under higher CO2.
document
http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7ks6vpx
eng
geoscientificInformation
Text
publication
2016-01-01T00:00:00Z
publication
2019-08-16T00:00:00Z
Copyright 2019 American Geophysical Union.
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