edu.ucar.opensky::articles:27239 UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact 2025-12-24T18:48:55.496524 ISO 19115-2 Geographic Information - Metadata - Part 2: Extensions for Imagery and Gridded Data ISO 19115-2:2009(E) https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7qc07r6 https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10810696 https Related Dataset #1 Causes and multiyear predictability of the rapid acceleration of U.S. Southeast Sea level rise after 2010 https://doi.org/10.7289/v5v40s7w https Related Dataset #2 Sea level measured by tide gauges from global oceans as part of the Joint Archive for Sea Level (JASL) since 1846 Causes and multiyear predictability of the rapid acceleration of U.S. Southeast Sea level rise after 2010 2024-05-24T00:00:00Z publication https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7qc07r6 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00670-w Zhang, Liping author Delworth, T. L. author Yang, X. author Zeng, F. author Gu, Q. author Li, S. author UCAR/NCAR - Library publisher The rate of sea level rise (SLR) along the Southeast Coast of the U.S. increased significantly after 2010. While anthropogenic radiative forcing causes an acceleration of global mean SLR, regional changes in the rate of SLR are strongly influenced by internal variability. Here we use observations and climate models to show that the rapid increase in the rate of SLR along the U.S. Southeast Coast after 2010 is due in part to multidecadal buoyancy-driven Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variations, along with heat transport convergence from wind-driven ocean circulation changes. We show that an initialized decadal prediction system can provide skillful regional SLR predictions induced by AMOC variations 5 years in advance, while wind-driven sea level variations are predictable 2 years in advance. Our results suggest that the rate of coastal SLR and its associated flooding risk along the U.S. southeastern seaboard are potentially predictable on multiyear timescales. UCAR/NCAR - Library OpenSky Support PO Box 3000 Boulder CO 80307-3000 opensky@ucar.edu http://opensky.ucar.edu/ homepage pointOfContact PDF Text theme Resource Type 2016-01-01T00:00:00Z publication Copyright author(s). This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. None eng geoscientificInformation