Identification

Title

Evaluation of the mountain hydroclimate across the Western United States in dynamically downscaled climate models

Abstract

This study evaluates the ability of 15 CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs), dynamically downscaled to a 9-km grid, to effectively simulate the observed regional hydroclimate across the complex terrain of the western United States. The evaluation focuses on orographic precipitation, surface temperature, and snow water equivalent (SWE), evaluated over a 33-yr period (1981–2014) using gridded gauge- and station-based datasets and a snowpack reanalysis product. Additional comparisons are made against two ERA5-driven climate reconstructions: one at 9-km resolution, with the same physical choices, and one at 4-km resolution. The latter better captures the terrain and orographic processes and uses different physics. Model performance is evaluated in four geographic regions, and mountains are contrasted against the surrounding plains. The evaluation is challenged by the fact that gridded observational estimates of climate parameters in complex terrain have a poorly quantified uncertainty related to measurement and/or representativeness issues. The ensemble mean of the downscaled GCMs overestimates cold-season precipitation, its orographic enhancement, and peak SWE in the mountains. Its diurnal temperature cycle and its mountain–plain temperature contrast are suppressed, compared to observations: its temperature estimates err toward the mean on both sides of both distributions. But the same applies to the identically downscaled (9 km) ERA5, indicating that these biases are due to model physics, not a misrepresentation of the climate system. The 4-km ERA5-based reconstruction has smaller biases in terms of precipitation and temperature, especially over mountains, but underestimates SWE. Model performance differs between mountains and plains, and the differences vary by region.

Resource type

document

Resource locator

Unique resource identifier

code

https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7cj8jtg

codeSpace

Dataset language

eng

Spatial reference system

code identifying the spatial reference system

Classification of spatial data and services

Topic category

geoscientificInformation

Keywords

Keyword set

keyword value

Text

originating controlled vocabulary

title

Resource Type

reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2016-01-01T00:00:00Z

Geographic location

West bounding longitude

East bounding longitude

North bounding latitude

South bounding latitude

Temporal reference

Temporal extent

Begin position

End position

Dataset reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2024-12-01T00:00:00Z

Frequency of update

Quality and validity

Lineage

Conformity

Data format

name of format

version of format

Constraints related to access and use

Constraint set

Use constraints

Limitations on public access

None

Responsible organisations

Responsible party

contact position

OpenSky Support

organisation name

UCAR/NCAR - Library

full postal address

PO Box 3000

Boulder

80307-3000

email address

opensky@ucar.edu

web address

http://opensky.ucar.edu/

name: homepage

responsible party role

pointOfContact

Metadata on metadata

Metadata point of contact