Runoff Risk V3.0 Hydrometeorological Dataset
d010113
<p>This dataset provides retrospective runoff risk forecasts and supporting data for the Great Lakes region. It includes retrospective simulations from the NOAA National Water Model (NWM) configuration of WRF-Hydro. These simulations were executed to produce approximately 25 additional land surface grid variables, along with surface and subsurface runoff outputs, identified as crucial for predicting runoff initiation at the edge of field.</p> <p>Two distinct processing workflows were used to generate the final forecast products. The first workflow employs a statistical post-processing approach, including quantile mapping bias correction, which adjusts NWM surface runoff predictions based on edge-of-field observations and USGS streamflow data. This workflow also incorporates a regionalization of the statistical model and bias correction using a Hydrologic Unit Code 10 (HUC10) level cluster analysis. The second, more streamlined workflow, consists solely of the bias correction of NWM output.</p> <p>This collection contains the raw WRF-Hydro outputs and the outputs from both retrospective forecast workflows. The data can be used to assess the skill of NWM-based runoff risk predictions and to compare the performance of the two different post-processing strategies. The primary goal of this dataset is to support the transition of these improved runoff risk tools into an operational environment at the NOAA Office of Water Prediction, ultimately aiding farmers in optimizing manure application timing to reduce nutrient runoff into the Great Lakes.</p>
dataset
https://gdex.ucar.edu/datasets/d010113/
protocol: https
name: Dataset Description
description: Related Link
function: information
https://gdex.ucar.edu/datasets/d010113/dataaccess/
protocol: https
name: Data Access
description: Related Link
function: download
climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere
dataset
revision
2021-03-30
WRF > Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model
revision
2025-10-03
EARTH SCIENCE > AGRICULTURE > SOILS > SOIL MOISTURE/WATER CONTENT
EARTH SCIENCE > ATMOSPHERE > ATMOSPHERIC RADIATION > NET RADIATION
EARTH SCIENCE > ATMOSPHERE > ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE > SURFACE TEMPERATURE > AIR TEMPERATURE
EARTH SCIENCE > ATMOSPHERE > ATMOSPHERIC TEMPERATURE > SURFACE TEMPERATURE > SKIN TEMPERATURE
EARTH SCIENCE > ATMOSPHERE > PRECIPITATION > PRECIPITATION RATE
EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > SOILS > SOIL TEMPERATURE
EARTH SCIENCE > TERRESTRIAL HYDROSPHERE > GROUND WATER > GROUND WATER FEATURES > WATER TABLE > WATER TABLE DEPTH
EARTH SCIENCE > TERRESTRIAL HYDROSPHERE > GROUND WATER > GROUND WATER PROCESSES/MEASUREMENTS > SUBSURFACE FLOW
revision
2025-10-03
2008-01-01
2017-12-31
publication
2025-09-23
notPlanned
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
None
pointOfContact
NSF NCAR Geoscience Data Exchange
name: NSF NCAR Geoscience Data Exchange
description: The Geoscience Data Exchange (GDEX), managed by the Computational and Information Systems Laboratory (CISL) at NSF NCAR, contains a large collection of meteorological, atmospheric composition, and oceanographic observations, and operational and reanalysis model outputs, integrated with NSF NCAR High Performance Compute services to support atmospheric and geosciences research.
function: download
pointOfContact
2025-10-09T01:46:01Z