Identification

Title

Validation of the Ensemble Generalized Analog Regression Downscaling (En-GARD) Model to Downscale Near-Surface Wind Speed for the Northeast United States

Abstract

Wind, often overlooked in climate change impact assessments, is now a crucial atmospheric variable due to our imminent reliance on renewable energy sources like wind energy. Therefore, establishing a wind speed database in higher temporal and spatial resolution is of great importance to assess wind power in historical periods and future projections. This study focuses on enhancing wind data representation and reliability of statistically downscaled model outputs by refining grid spacing from coarser to a desirable finer scale. Employing the Ensemble Generalized Analog Regression Downscaling (En-GARD) technique, we downscaled near-surface wind speed across a northeast (NE) U.S. domain that combines onshore and offshore wind farm areas. We tested multiple atmospheric variable combinations and identified near-surface wind speed (wind speed at 10 m), longitudinal and latitudinal wind at 10 m, and atmospheric temperature at 2 m, as the set that effectively guides the selection of analog days for the analog regression downscaling approach. Validation involved using ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis products (31 km) and high-resolution (4 km) Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model simulations. Downscaling was conducted using a leave-one-year-out approach over 12 years (2001–12). Statistical analysis of the downscaled output over this period demonstrated a significant correlation and low error metrics (less than 20% for normalized RMSE and 16% for normalized MAE), indicating the reliability of the method and paving the way for its future application to downscale climate projection outputs.

Resource type

document

Resource locator

Unique resource identifier

code

https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7ms3z28

codeSpace

Dataset language

eng

Spatial reference system

code identifying the spatial reference system

Classification of spatial data and services

Topic category

geoscientificInformation

Keywords

Keyword set

keyword value

Text

originating controlled vocabulary

title

Resource Type

reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2016-01-01T00:00:00Z

Geographic location

West bounding longitude

East bounding longitude

North bounding latitude

South bounding latitude

Temporal reference

Temporal extent

Begin position

End position

Dataset reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2025-01-01T00:00:00Z

Frequency of update

Quality and validity

Lineage

Conformity

Data format

name of format

version of format

Constraints related to access and use

Constraint set

Use constraints

Limitations on public access

None

Responsible organisations

Responsible party

contact position

OpenSky Support

organisation name

UCAR/NCAR - Library

full postal address

PO Box 3000

Boulder

80307-3000

email address

opensky@ucar.edu

web address

http://opensky.ucar.edu/

name: homepage

responsible party role

pointOfContact

Metadata on metadata

Metadata point of contact