Identification

Title

Can data assimilation improve short-term prediction of land surface variables?

Abstract

Data assimilation methods have been used to improve the performances of land surface models by integrating remote sensing and in situ measurements. However, the impact of data assimilation on improving the forecast of land surface variables has not been well studied, which is essential for weather and hydrology forecasting. In this study, a multi-pass land data assimilation scheme (MLDAS) based on the Noah-MP model was used to predict short-term land surface variables (e.g., sensible heat fluxes (H), latent heat fluxes (LE), and surface soil moisture (SM)) by jointly assimilating soil moisture, leaf area index (LAI) and solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF). The test was conducted at the Mead site during the growing season (1 May to 30 September) in 2003, 2004, and 2005. Four assimilation-prediction scenarios (assimilating for 15 days, 45 days, 75 days, and 105 days from 1 May, then predicting one future month) are adapted to evaluate the influence of assimilation on subsequent prediction against Noah-MP open-loop simulation (OL). On average, MLDAS produces 28.65%, 27.79%, and 19.15% lower root square deviations (RMSD) for daily H, LE, and SM prediction compared to open-loop run, respectively. The influence of assimilation on prediction can reach around 60 days and 100 days for H (LE) and SM, respectively. Our findings indicate that data assimilation can improve the accuracy of land surface variables in a short-term prediction period.

Resource type

document

Resource locator

Unique resource identifier

code

http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d78p64cc

codeSpace

Dataset language

eng

Spatial reference system

code identifying the spatial reference system

Classification of spatial data and services

Topic category

geoscientificInformation

Keywords

Keyword set

keyword value

Text

originating controlled vocabulary

title

Resource Type

reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2016-01-01T00:00:00Z

Geographic location

West bounding longitude

East bounding longitude

North bounding latitude

South bounding latitude

Temporal reference

Temporal extent

Begin position

End position

Dataset reference date

date type

publication

effective date

2022-10-16T00:00:00Z

Frequency of update

Quality and validity

Lineage

Conformity

Data format

name of format

version of format

Constraints related to access and use

Constraint set

Use constraints

Limitations on public access

None

Responsible organisations

Responsible party

contact position

OpenSky Support

organisation name

UCAR/NCAR - Library

full postal address

PO Box 3000

Boulder

80307-3000

email address

opensky@ucar.edu

web address

http://opensky.ucar.edu/

name: homepage

responsible party role

pointOfContact

Metadata on metadata

Metadata point of contact