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Boundary Layer Profile Measurement System
The NCAR Field Observing Facility developed a new tethered-balloon wing system that accurately measures the vertical profile of temperature, wind speed, wind direction, and...- publication PDF
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CMIP5 multi-model hindcasts for the mid-1970s shift and early 2000s hiatus...
Compared to uninitialized climate change projections, a multi-model ensemble from the CMIP5 10 year decadal prediction experiments produces more warming during the mid-1970s...- publication PDF
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Plant water use theory should incorporate hypotheses about extreme...
Plant water use theory has largely been developed within a plant-performance paradigm that conceptualizes water use in terms of value for carbon gain and that sits within a...- publication PDF
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Climate change increases risk of extreme rainfall following wildfire in the...
Post-wildfire extreme rainfall events can have destructive impacts in the western United States. Using two climate model large ensembles, we assess the future risk of extreme...- publication PDF
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The NCAR Airborne Infrared Lidar System (NAILS) Design and Operation
This article does not have an abstract or article summary.- publication PDF
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Confronting Models with Data: The GEWEX Cloud Systems Study (GCSS)
The Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) Cloud System Study (GCSS) was organized to promote the development of improved parameterizations of cloud systems for use in...- publication PDF
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The impact of rising atmospheric CO₂ on simulated sea ice induced...
The impact of rising atmospheric CO2 levels on the sea ice induced low frequency variability of the North Atlantic climate is examined using a coupled ice/ocean/atmosphere...- publication PDF
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Characterizing the occurrence and spatial heterogeneity of liquid, ice, and...
Supercooled liquid water (SLW) and mixed phase clouds containing SLW and ice over the Southern Ocean (SO) are poorly represented in global climate and numerical weather...- publication PDF
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Normal Modes of an Atmospheric Prediction Model
This technical report describes the derivation of the discrete normal modes of a grid point model developed at NCAR by Somerville and Shkoller. The work was completed September...- publication PDF
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Large-eddy simulation of an idealized tropical cyclone
This article does not have an abstract or article summary.- publication PDF
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The 11 year solar cycle signal in transient simulations from the whole...
The atmospheric response to the 11 year solar cycle (SC) and its combination with the quasi-biennal oscillation (QBO) are analyzed in four simulations of the Whole Atmosphere...- publication PDF
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A comparison of hybrid-gain versus hybrid-covariance data assimilation for global NWP
Two methods for incorporating a time-invariant, high-rank covariance estimate in an ensemble-based data assimilation system for global weather prediction are compared. The...- publication PDF
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Atmospheric emissions from the Deepwater Horizon spill constrain air-water...
The fate of deepwater releases of gas and oil mixtures is initially determined by solubility and volatility of individual hydrocarbon species; these attributes determine...- publication PDF
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Poleward excursions by the Himalayan subtropical jet over the past four centuries
Since the 1980s, the subtropical jet stream has generally moved poleward, but its behavior varies by region and season. Here we examine the interannual variability and trends in...- publication PDF
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A real-time convection-allowing ensemble prediction system initialized by...
In May and June 2013, the National Center for Atmospheric Research produced real-time 48-h convection-allowing ensemble forecasts at 3-km horizontal grid spacing using the...- publication PDF
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Stationary wave reflection as a mechanism for zonalizing the Atlantic Winter...
Current estimates of the height of the Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS) at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) range from around 3000 to 4500 m. Modeling studies of the LGM, using low-end...- publication PDF
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An Aviation Research Facility for the Atmospheric Sciences
In this report a National Aircraft Facility Survey Group was appointed in July 1963. The group was requested to study and report upon requirements for research aircraft and...- publication PDF
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Quantifying uncertainty in projections of regional climate change: A...
A Bayesian statistical model is proposed that combines information from a multimodel ensemble of atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) and observations to...- publication PDF
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The future of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: Using large ensembles to...
Future changes in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are uncertain, both because future projections differ between climate models and because the large internal variability...- publication PDF
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A philosophical justification for a novel analysis-supported,...
Two trends currently shape water resources planning and decision making: reliance on participatory stakeholder processes to evaluate water management options; and growing...- publication PDF
