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Thermal Convection: A Colloquium, Sponsored by the NCAR Advanced Study...
This document is part one of three which report the results of a six-week colloquium on problems of thermal convection held during the summer of 1966. The colloquium covered a...- publication PDF
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An investigation of the connections among convection, clouds, and climate...
This study explores connections between process-level modeling of convection and global climate model (GCM) simulated clouds and cloud feedback to global warming through a set...- publication PDF
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Explicit prediction of continental convection in a skillful...
We present a new global-to-regional model, cfvGFS, able to explicitly (without parameterization) represent convection over part of the Earth. This model couples the Geophysical...- publication PDF
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Probabilistic 0-1-h convective initiation nowcasts that combine...
The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-R convective initiation (CI) algorithm predicts CI in real time over the next 0-60 min. While GOES-R CI has been...- publication PDF
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Sulfate geoengineering impact on methane transport and lifetime: results...
Sulfate geoengineering (SG), made by sustained injection of SO2 in the tropical lower stratosphere, may impact the CH4 abundance through several photochemical mechanisms...- publication PDF
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Essential oil content of Rhododendron tomentosum responds strongly to...
The essential oils of the widely distributed boreal/Arctic dwarf shrub, Rhododendron tomentosum ssp. subarcticum (Harmaja) G.D. Wallace, have important ecological, cultural,...- publication PDF
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Investigation of ensemble variance as a measure of true forecast variance
The uncertainty in meteorological predictions is of interest for applications ranging from economic to recreational to public safety. One common method to estimate uncertainty...- publication PDF
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Spatial patterns of wet season precipitation vertical gradients on the...
The Tibetan Plateau and the surrounding (TPS) with its vast land mass and high elevation affects regional climate and weather. The TPS is also the headwater of 9 major Asian...- publication PDF
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Tropical interbasin interaction as effective predictors of late-spring...
The southern Great Plains experience fluctuating precipitation extremes that significantly impact agriculture and water management. Despite ongoing efforts to enhance forecast...- publication PDF
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Abundant nitrate and nitric acid aerosol in the upper troposphere and lower...
The tropospheric and stratospheric nitrate aerosol is simulated by a sectional aerosol model coupled to the Community Earth System Model. The simulated nitrate mass fractional...- publication PDF
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Response of coastal California hydroclimate to the PaleoceneâEocene Thermal Maximum
The effects of anthropogenic warming on the hydroclimate of California are becoming more pronounced with the increased frequency of multi-year droughts and flooding. As a past...- publication PDF
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Importance of mid-level moisture for tropical cyclone formation in easterly...
This study explores the importance of midlevel moisture for tropical cyclone (TC) formation in monsoon and easterly environments over the western North Pacific in regional...- publication PDF
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Observations of glyoxal and formaldehyde as metrics for the anthropogenic...
We present simultaneous fast, in-situ measurements of formaldehyde and glyoxal from two rural campaigns, BEARPEX 2009 and BEACHON-ROCS, both located in Pinus Ponderosa forests...- publication PDF
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Testing the tests: What are the impacts of incorrect assumptions when...
Which of two competing continuous forecasts is better? This question is often asked in forecast verification, as well as climate model evaluation. Traditional statistical tests...- publication PDF
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Directional analysis of the storm surge from Hurricane Sandy 2012, with...
Hurricane Sandy in late October 2012 drove before it a storm surge that rose to 4.28 meters above mean lower low water at The Battery in lower Manhattan, and flooded the Hugh L....- publication PDF
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Uncertainty in climate change projections: The role of internal variability
Uncertainty in future climate change presents a key challenge for adaptation planning. In this study, uncertainty arising from internal climate variability is investigated using...- publication PDF
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Validation of Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES) nadir ozone profiles...
We compare Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES) version 2 (V002) nadir ozone profiles with ozonesonde profiles from the Intercontinental Chemical Transport Experiment...- publication PDF
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Weather research and forecastingâfire simulated burned area and...
Wildland fire behavior models are often initiated using the detection information listed in incident reports. This information carries an unknown amount of uncertainty, though...- publication PDF
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A global dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index for 1870-2002:...
A monthly dataset of Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) from 1870 to 2002 is derived using historical precipitation and temperature data for global land areas on a 2.5° grid....- publication PDF
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A novel approach for characterizing the variability in mass-dimension...
Mass-dimension (m-D) relationships determining bulk microphysical properties such as total water content (TWC) and radar reflectivity factor (Z) from particle size distributions...- publication PDF
