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Are glacials dry? Consequences for paleoclimatology and for greenhouse warming
Past cold climates are often thought to have been drier than today on land, which appears to conflict with certain recent studies projecting widespread terrestrial drying with...- publication PDF
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Eyewall asymmetries and their contributions to the intensification of an...
Scale-dependent processes within the tropical cyclone (TC) eyewall and their contributions to intensification are examined in an idealized simulation of a TC translating in...- publication PDF
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Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has...- publication PDF
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The persistent cold-air pool study
The Persistent Cold-Air Pool Study (PCAPS) was conducted in Utah's Salt Lake valley from 1 December 2010 to 7 February 2011. The field campaign's primary goal was to improve...- publication PDF
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Understanding space weather to shield society: A global road map for...
There is a growing appreciation that the environmental conditions that we call space weather impact the technological infrastructure that powers the coupled economies around the...- publication PDF
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Untangling the relationship between AMOC variability and North Atlantic...
The relationship between Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variability and high-latitude North Atlantic buoyancy changes is complicated by the latter both...- publication PDF
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Simulation of present day and twenty-first-century energy budgets of the...
The energy budget of the modern-day Southern Hemisphere is poorly simulated in both state-of-the-art reanalyses and coupled global climate models. The ocean-dominated Southern...- publication PDF
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Seasonal representation of extreme precipitation indices over the United...
Realistically representing the present-day characteristics of extreme precipitation has been a challenge for global climate models, which is due in part to deficiencies in model...- publication PDF
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Reservoir evaporation in the western United States: Current science,...
One way to adapt to and mitigate current and future water scarcity is to manage and store water more efficiently. Reservoirs act as critical buffers to ensure agricultural and...- publication PDF
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Mechanisms and impacts of Earth system tipping elements
Tipping elements are components of the Earth system which may respond nonlinearly to anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long-term...- publication PDF
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Dynamical and microphysical retrieval from Doppler radar observations using...
The purpose of the research reported in this paper is to develop a variational data analysis system that can be used to assimilate data from one or more Doppler radars. In the...- publication PDF
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Ice and supercooled liquid water distributions over the southern ocean based...
Three climate models are evaluated using in situ airborne observations from the Southern Ocean Clouds, Radiation, Aerosol Transport Experimental Study (SOCRATES) campaign. The...- publication PDF
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Greenland surface mass balance as simulated by the Community Earth System...
The modeling of the surface mass balance (SMB) of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) requires high-resolution models in order to capture the observed large gradients in the steep...- publication PDF
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Aerosol-CO relationship and aerosol effect on ice cloud particle size:...
We examine the relation between Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) aerosol optical thickness (AOT) and Aura Microwave Limb Sounder upper tropospheric...- publication PDF
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Preliminary Design, ENCAR-1 Rocket-Borne Cryogenic Air Sampler
The NCAR Isotope Geochemistry Program is developing a cryogenic air sampler fitted into the nose cone of the Aerobee-150 rocket. This rocket-borne sampling system has been...- publication PDF
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The radiative effect on cloud microphysics from the Arctic to the Tropics
Cloud representation is one of the largest uncertainties in the current weather and climate models. In this article, the observations and modeling of the radiative effect on...- publication PDF
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Properties of convectively induced turbulence over developing oceanic convection
Convectively induced turbulence (CIT) is an aviation hazard that continues to be a forecasting challenge as operational forecast models are too coarse to resolve turbulence...- publication PDF
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Forecasting the dynamic and electrodynamic response to the January 2009...
A whole atmosphere model has been used to simulate the changes in the global atmosphere dynamics and electrodynamics during the January 2009 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW)....- publication PDF
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An evaluation of analog-based postprocessing methods across several...
Recently, two analog-based postprocessing methods were demonstrated to reduce the systematic and random errors from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model predictions of...- publication PDF
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Meso-Micrometeorological Requirements for the Atmospheric Sciences
Survey Group on Meso-micrometeorology outlines its recommendation that a facility be established which would develop, acquire, maintain and operate certain types of...- publication PDF