Testing the fidelity of methods used in proxy-based reconstructions of past climate

Two widely used statistical approaches to reconstructing past climate histories from climate “proxy” data such as tree rings, corals, and ice cores are investigated using synthetic “pseudoproxy” data derived from a simulation of forced climate changes over the past 1200 yr. These experiments suggest that both statistical approaches should yield reliable reconstructions of the true climate history within estimated uncertainties, given estimates of the signal and noise attributes of actual proxy data networks.

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Copyright 2005 American Meteorological Society (AMS). Permission to use figures, tables, and brief excerpts from this work in scientific and educational works is hereby granted provided that the source is acknowledged. Any use of material in this work that is determined to be "fair use" under Section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Act or that satisfies the conditions specified in Section 108 of the U.S. Copyright Act (17 USC §108, as revised by P.L. 94-553) does not require the AMS's permission. Republication, systematic reproduction, posting in electronic form on servers, or other uses of this material, except as exempted by the above statement, requires written permission or a license form the AMS. Additional details are provided in the AMS Copyright Policy, available on the AMS Web site located at (http://www.ametsoc.org/AMS) or from the AMS at 617-227-2425 or copyright@ametsoc.org.


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Author Mann, Michael
Rutherford, Scott
Wahl, Eugene
Ammann, Caspar
Publisher UCAR/NCAR - Library
Publication Date 2005-10-15T00:00:00
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Topic Category geoscientificInformation
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Metadata Date 2023-08-18T18:27:55.910058
Metadata Record Identifier edu.ucar.opensky::articles:9394
Metadata Language eng; USA
Suggested Citation Mann, Michael, Rutherford, Scott, Wahl, Eugene, Ammann, Caspar. (2005). Testing the fidelity of methods used in proxy-based reconstructions of past climate. UCAR/NCAR - Library. http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7sf2wzt. Accessed 19 June 2025.

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