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Can we predict the predictability of high-impact weather events?
Ensemble sensitivity analysis (ESA) offers a computationally inexpensive way to diagnose sources of high-impact forecast feature uncertainty by relating a localized forecast...- publication PDF
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The impact of assimilating COSMIC-2 observations of electron density in WACCMX
The present study investigates the impact of assimilating electron density profiles from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate-2 (COSMIC-2)...- publication PDF
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Advancing precipitation estimation, prediction, and impact studies
Precipitation exhibits a large variability over a wide range of space and time scales: from seconds to years and decades in time and from the millimeter scale of microphysical...- publication PDF
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Extended-range probabilistic forecasts of Ganges and Brahmaputra floods in Bangladesh
A new ensemble prediction scheme was developed for probabilistic flood forecasting in Bangladesh. Skill is found to 10-15 days. In 2007-8 it was used to evacuate people along...- publication PDF
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Impact of mixing and chemical change on ozone-tracer relations in the polar vortex
Tracer-tracer relations have been used for a long time to separate physico-chemical change from change caused by transport processes. In particular, for more than a decade,...- publication PDF
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Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM2)
This report presents the details of the governing equations, physical parameterizations, and numerical algorithms defining the version of the NCAR Community Climate Model...- publication PDF
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Sensitivity of tropical cyclone intensity to ventilation in an axisymmetric model
The sensitivity of tropical cyclone intensity to ventilation of cooler, drier air into the inner core is examined using an axisymmetric tropical cyclone model with parameterized...- publication PDF
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The simulation of stratospheric water vapor over the Asian summer monsoon in...
Previous observational studies have found a persistent maximum in stratospheric water vapor (SWV) in the upper troposphere lower stratosphere (UTLS) confined by the upper-level...- publication PDF
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Changing weather and climate in Northern Ghana: Comparison of local...
Local perspectives on changing weather and climate and analyses of meteorological data represent two different but potentially complementary ways of knowing about the local-...- publication PDF
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Implementation and exploration of parameterizations of large-scale dynamics...
A single column model with parameterized large-scale (LS) dynamics is used to better understand the response of steady-state tropical precipitation to relative sea surface...- publication PDF
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Meteorological conditions and behavioral spatial cognition: A critical...
Human visuospatial cognition plays a critical role in risk perception and resultant decision-making. In the context of hazardous meteorological conditions, risk communication...- publication PDF
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A high-quality, homogenized, global, long-term (1993-2008) DORIS...
For the first time a high-quality, consistent, global, long-term data set of zenith tropospheric delay (ZTD) and precipitable water (PW) is produced from Doppler orbitography...- publication PDF
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Mesoscale modeling of offshore wind turbine wakes at the wind farm resolving...
he use of mesoscale modeling to reproduce the power deficits associated with wind turbine wakes in an offshore environment is analyzed. The study is based on multiyear (3 years)...- publication PDF
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The summer North Atlantic oscillation: Past, present, and future
Summer climate in the North Atlantic - European sector possesses a principal pattern of year-to-year variability that is the parallel to the well-known North Atlantic...- publication PDF
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The relationship between statistics of warm-season cloud episodes and...
In this study, the relationship between statistical properties (including zonal span, duration, and propagation speed) of warm-season cloud episodes in Hovmollder space and...- publication PDF
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Linear and nonlinear signatures in the planetary wave dynamics of an AGCM:...
To identify and quantify indications of linear and nonlinear planetary wave behavior and their impact on the distribution of atmospheric states, characteristics of a very long...- publication PDF
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Dynamic ecosystem assembly and escaping the "fire trap" in the tropics:...
Fire is a fundamental part of the Earth system, with impacts on vegetation structure, biomass, and community composition, the latter mediated in part via key fire-tolerance...- publication PDF
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Contrasting trends of mass and optical properties of aerosols over the...
Atmospheric aerosols affect both human health and climate. PMX is the mass concentration of aerosol particles that have aerodynamic diameters less than X μm, PM10 was initially...- publication PDF
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Reimagine fire science for the anthropocene
Fire is an integral component of ecosystems globally and a tool that humans have harnessed for millennia. Altered fire regimes are a fundamental cause and consequence of global...- publication PDF
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Long-lived Mesoscale systems in a low-convective inhibition environment....
Dynamical models of organized mesoscale convective systems have identified the important features that help maintain their overarching structure and longevity. The standard...- publication PDF