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Incremental dynamical downscaling for probabilistic analysis based on...
A dynamical downscaling method for probabilistic regional-scale climate change projections was developed to cover the inherent uncertainty associated with multiple general...- publication PDF
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Robust Bayesian uncertainty analysis of climate system properties using...
A Bayesian uncertainty analysis of 12 parameters of the Bern2.5D climate model is presented. This includes an extensive sensitivity study with respect to the major statistical...- publication PDF
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The importance of ENSO phase during volcanic eruptions for detection and attribution
Comparisons of the observed global-scale cooling following recent volcanic eruptions to that simulated by climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5)...- publication PDF
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Decadal change and inter-annual variability of net primary productivity on...
Net primary productivity (NPP) is an important indicator of plant dynamics and the net carbon exchange between the terrestrial ecosystem and atmosphere. Both the long-term...- publication PDF
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An ensemble approach to investigate tropical cyclone intensification in...
The mechanisms responsible for tropical cyclone (TC) intensification in the presence of moderate vertical shear magnitudes are not well understood. To investigate how TCs...- publication PDF
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Integration of process-based soil respiration models with whole-ecosystem...
We integrated soil models with an established ecosystem process model (SIPNET, simplified photosynthesis and evapotranspiration model) to investigate the influence of soil...- publication PDF
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Sensitivity of top-down estimates of CO sources to GCTM transport
Estimates of CO sources derived from inversions using satellite observations still exhibit discrepancies. Here, we conduct controlled inverse analyses to elucidate the influence...- publication PDF
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A new moist turbulence parameterization in the Community Atmosphere Model
A new moist turbulence parameterization is presented and implemented in the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM). It is derived from Grenier and Bretherton but has been heavily...- publication PDF
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Role Of the Sun and the Middle atmosphere/thermosphere/ionosphere In Climate...
While knowledge of the energy inputs from the Sun (as it is the primary energy source) is important for understanding the solar-terrestrial system, of equal importance is the...- publication PDF
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The impacts of climate, land use, and demography on fires during the 21st...
Landscape fires during the 21st century are expected to change in response to multiple agents of global change. Important controlling factors include climate controls on the...- publication PDF
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Sensitivity of 21st century stratospheric ozone to greenhouse gas scenarios
To understand how greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions may affect future stratospheric ozone, 21st century projections from four chemistry-climate models are examined for their...- publication PDF
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Variability in the mechanisms controlling Southern Ocean phytoplankton bloom...
A coupled global numerical simulation (conducted with the Community Earth System Model) is used in conjunction with satellite remote sensing observations to examine the role of...- publication PDF
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Parameterizing convective organization to escape the entrainment dilemma
Lateral mixing parameters in buoyancy-driven deep convection schemes are among the most sensitive and important unknowns in atmosphere models. Unfortunately, there is not a true...- publication PDF
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Comparison of two land surface schemes in week-long cloud-system-resolving...
This paper presents a case study of the impact of land surface treatment on warm season precipitation simulations at convection-permitting grid resolution. Two surface schemes...- publication PDF
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Impact of Chinese urbanization and aerosol emissions on the East Asian summer monsoon
Impacts of urbanization and anthropogenic aerosols in China on the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) are investigated using version 5.1 of the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM5.1)...- publication PDF
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A hybrid nudging-ensemble Kalman filter approach to data assimilation. Part...
A hybrid data assimilation approach combining nudging and the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for dynamic analysis and numerical weather prediction is explored here using the non-...- publication PDF
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The characteristics of weakly forced mountain-to-plain precipitation systems...
The metropolis of Beijing in China is located on a plain adjacent to high mountains to its northwest and the gulf of the Bohai Sea to its southeast. One of the most challenging...- publication PDF
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The ionospheric midlatitude trough observed by FORMOSAT-3/COSMIC during solar minimum
This paper for the first time reports global three-dimensional (3-D) structures of the ionospheric midlatitude trough using electron density profiles derived from the GPS radio...- publication PDF
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Interactions of bromine, chlorine, and iodine photochemistry during ozone...
The springtime depletion of tropospheric ozone in the Arctic is known to be caused by active halogen photochemistry resulting from halogen atom precursors emitted from snow,...- publication PDF
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Supercell low-level mesocyclones in simulations with a sheared convective...
Simulations of supercell thunderstorms in a sheared convective boundary layer (CBL), characterized by quasi-two-dimensional rolls, are compared with simulations having...- publication PDF