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Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5 °C
The Paris Agreement calls for efforts to limit anthropogenic global warming to less than 1.5 degrees C above preindustrial levels. However, natural internal variability may...- publication PDF
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Potential and timescales for oxygen depletion in coastal upwelling systems:...
A simple box model is used to examine oxygen depletion in an idealized ocean-margin upwelling system. Near-bottom oxygen depletion is controlled by a competition between...- publication PDF
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Ocean convergence and the dispersion of flotsam
Floating oil, plastics, and marine organisms are continually redistributed by ocean surface currents. Prediction of their resulting distribution on the surface is a fundamental,...- publication PDF
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NCAR General Circulation Model (GCM) History Tape Formats and Anomalies
This report serves as a common reference manual for General Circulation Model (GCM) personnel and outside interested parties. It specifically addresses development of, details...- publication PDF
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Exchange of plankton, pollutants, and particles across the nearshore region
Exchange of material across the nearshore region, extending from the shoreline to a few kilometers offshore, determines the concentrations of pathogens and nutrients near the...- publication PDF
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Particle filter data assimilation for ubiquitous unstable trajectories of...
Estimating the states of error-growing (sensitive to initial state) cellular automata (CA) based on noisy imperfect data is challenging due to the discreteness of the dynamical...- publication PDF
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Simulating observations of southern ocean clouds and implications for climate
Southern Ocean (S. Ocean) clouds are important for climate prediction. Yet previous global climate models failed to accurately represent cloud phase distributions in this...- publication PDF
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Dust radiative effects on atmospheric thermodynamics and tropical...
This study investigated the dust radiative effects on atmospheric thermodynamics and tropical cyclogenesis over the Atlantic Ocean using the Weather Research and Forecasting...- publication PDF
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Nitric acid measurements at Eureka obtained in winter 2001-2002 using solar...
For the first time, vertical column measurements of nitric acid (HNO₂) above Eureka (80.1°N, 86.4°W), Canada, have been made during polar night using lunar spectra recorded with...- publication PDF
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Hemispheric asymmetry of the annual and semiannual variation of...
We examine hemispheric asymmetry of the annual and semiannual variation of the ratio of O and N-2 concentrations (O/N-2) using observations by the Global Ultraviolet Imager...- publication PDF
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Influences of recent particle formation on southern ocean aerosol...
Controls on pristine aerosol over the Southern Ocean (SO) are critical for constraining the strength of global aerosol indirect forcing. Observations of summertime SO clouds and...- publication PDF
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Surface energy balance and buoyancy response to shallow cumulus shading
The interactions surrounding the coupling between surface energy balance and a boundary layer with shallow cumuli are investigated using the National Center for Atmospheric...- publication PDF
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A bayesian approach for statistical–physical bulk parameterization of rain...
A new framework is proposed for the bulk parameterization of rain microphysics: the Bayesian Observationally Constrained Statistical-Physical Scheme (BOSS). It is designed to...- publication PDF
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A climatology of cold air outbreaks over North America: WACCM and ERA-40...
A climatology of cold air outbreaks (CAOs) over North America is presented on the basis of a 50 year simulation of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM). This...- publication PDF
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Prediction of Graupel density in a bulk microphysics scheme
A method to predict the bulk density of graupel ρg has been added to the two-moment Milbrandt-Yau bulk microphysics scheme. The simulation of graupel using the modified scheme...- publication PDF
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High-resolution flood precipitation and streamflow relationships in two US...
Relationships between rainfall and river discharge are important for governing flood characteristics and predicting flood impacts. Previous studies have examined these...- publication PDF
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Diapycnal displacement, diffusion, and distortion of tracers in the ocean
Small-scale mixing drives the diabatic upwelling that closes the abyssal ocean overturning circulation. Indirect microstructure measurements of in situ turbulence suggest that...- publication PDF
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Critical science plan for the Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope (DKIST)
The National Science Foundation's Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope (DKIST) will revolutionize our ability to measure, understand, and model the basic physical processes that...- publication PDF
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Intermittent turbulence in a global ocean model
A large-scale model of ocean dynamics finds intermittent behavior that may have implications for how the ocean's energy budget is assessed.- publication PDF
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Preface: Nonlinear waves and chaos
This article does not have an abstract or article summary.- publication PDF
