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An assessment of tropical cyclones in North American CORDEX WRF simulations
This work presents an assessment of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the 25 km and 50 km resolution reanalysis-forced and baseline and future (RCP8.5) global climate model (GCM)...- publication PDF
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Subseasonal-to-seasonal Arctic sea ice forecast skill improvement from sea...
The current GFDL seasonal prediction system, the Seamless System for Prediction and Earth System Research (SPEAR), has shown skillful prediction of Arctic sea ice extent with...- publication PDF
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A quantile-conserving ensemble filter framework. Part III: Data assimilation...
The uncertainty associated with many observed and modeled quantities of interest in Earth system prediction can be represented by mixed probability distributions that are...- publication PDF
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Measurement Uncertainties of the NCAR Air Motion Systems
An in-depth assessment of the measurement uncertainties of the NCAR air motion systems characterizes this capability and is presented as a useful tool for determining wind data...- publication PDF
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Climatological analysis of tropical cyclone intensity changes under moderate...
Although infrequent, tropical cyclones (TCs) can intensify under moderate vertical wind shear (VWS). A potential hypothesis is that other factors-associated with both the TC and...- publication PDF
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Meteorological drivers of resource adequacy failures in current and high...
Power system resource adequacy (RA), or its ability to continually balance energy supply and demand, underpins human and economic health. How meteorology affects RA and RA...- publication PDF
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Marine cloud brightening: Regional applications
The general principle behind the marine cloud brightening (MCB) climate engineering technique is that seeding marine stratocumulus clouds with substantial concentrations of...- publication PDF
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Securing science gateways
Science gateways began to emerge and evolve on the NSF-sponsored national HPC cyberinfrastructure, known today as the TeraGrid, in the early 2000s. Currently, the TeraGrid...- publication PDF
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On the covariability of cloud and rain water as a function of length scale
Microphysics parameterizations in large-scale models often account for subgrid variability in the calculation of process rates by integrating over assumed subgrid distributions...- publication PDF
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Assessment and reduction of the physical parameterization uncertainty for...
The community Noah land surface model with multiparameterization options (Noah-MP) provides a plethora of model configurations with varying complexity for land surface modeling....- publication PDF
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Global asteroseismic properties of solar-like oscillations observed by...
We present the asteroseismic analysis of 1948 F-, G- and K-type main-sequence and subgiant stars observed by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Kepler mission. We...- publication PDF
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The impacts of secondary ice production on microphysics and dynamics in...
Secondary ice production (SIP) is an important physical phenomenon that results in an increase in the ice particle concentration and can therefore have a significant impact on...- publication PDF
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Future climate risks from stress, insects and fire across US forests
Forests are currently a substantial carbon sink globally. Many climate change mitigation strategies leverage forest preservation and expansion, but rely on forests storing...- publication PDF
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Sources of black carbon deposition to the Himalayan glaciers in current and...
The Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry and a modified version of the Evaluating the Climate and Air Quality Impacts of Short-Lived Pollutants...- publication PDF
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Stratospheric ozone depletion inside the volcanic plume shortly after the...
Near-term in-plume ozone depletion was observed for about 10 d by the Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) right after the January 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai (HTHH) eruption....- publication PDF
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Development of an efficient regional four-dimensional variational data...
This paper presents the development of a single executable four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) system based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)...- publication PDF
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Insights from Nowcasting and Mesoscale Research Working Group Projects of...
Insights from Forecast Demonstration Projects and Research Development Projects, training workshops, and symposia, conducted between 2000 and 2024 are summarized. The projects...- publication PDF
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Significant enhancements of nitrogen oxides, black carbon, and ozone in the...
Extensive wildfires burned in northern North America during summer 2004, releasing large amounts of trace gases and aerosols into the atmosphere. Emissions from these wildfires...- publication PDF
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Collecting longitudinal, perishable social science observations during hurricanes
A hurricane is highly dynamic, evolving over minutes, hours, and days. It can change in intensity, track, and translational speed, all of which can change the hazards from wind,...- publication PDF
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Effects of anthropogenic forcing and natural variability on the 2018...
The Northeast Asian 2018 heatwave is an unlikely event without anthropogenic forcing; only two have occurred over the last 40 years. By 2050 they will become 1-in-4-yr events.- publication PDF