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The influence of shallow convection on tropical cyclone track forecasts
Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasts depend on having skillful numerical model predictions of the environmental wind field. Given that wind and temperature are related...- publication PDF
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A local least squares framework for ensemble filtering
Many methods using ensemble integrations of prediction models as integral parts of data assimilation have appeared in the atmospheric and oceanic literature. In general, these...- publication PDF
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Will climate change impact polar NOx produced by energetic particle precipitation?
Energetic electron precipitation (EEP) is an important source of polar nitrogen oxides (NOx) in the upper atmosphere. During winter, mesospheric NOx has a long chemical lifetime...- publication PDF
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Examination of mixed-phase precipitation forecasts from the High-Resolution...
Accurate prediction of mixed-phase precipitation remains challenging for numerical weather prediction models even at high resolution and with a sophisticated explicit...- publication PDF
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Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) collection 4: Establishing a 17-year-long...
The Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) was launched on 15 July 2004, with an expected mission lifetime of 5 years. After more than 17 years in orbit the instrument is still...- publication PDF
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Voronoi, Delaunay, and block-structured mesh refinement for solution of the...
Alternative meshes of the sphere and adaptive mesh refinement could be immensely beneficial for weather and climate forecasts, but it is not clear how mesh refinement should be...- publication PDF
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Airborne flux measurements of BVOCs above Californian oak forests:...
Airborne flux measurements of isoprene were performed over the Californian oak belts surrounding the Central Valley. The authors demonstrate for the first time 1) the...- publication PDF
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Misuse of landfall as a proxy for Atlantic tropical cyclone activity
Recent studies [Solow and Moore, 2000; Landsea, 2007] have used an assumed constant ratio of landfalling cyclones to all tropical cyclones in the basin to assess potential...- publication PDF
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Programmer Training for Young Scientists - a Case Study
Each summer since 1966 the NCAR Computing Facility has conducted a Summer Fellowship Program to provide on-the-job training in computer programming and research for graduate...- publication PDF
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Why doesn't the ring current injection rate saturate?
For low values of the solar wind electric field, the response of the polar cap potential is essentially linear, but at high values of VBs, the polar cap potential saturates and...- publication PDF
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A large eddy simulation study of moist convection initiation over...
This study uses large eddy simulations to investigate processes of moist convection initiation (CI) over heterogeneous surface fluxes. Surface energy balance is imposed via a...- publication PDF
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Toward improving ice water content and snow-rate retrievals from radars....
Two methods for deriving relationships between the equivalent radar reflectivity factor Z(e) and the snowfall rate S at three radar wavelengths are described. The first method...- publication PDF
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Designing global climate and atmospheric chemistry simulations for 1...
About 66 million years ago, an asteroid about 10 km in diameter struck the Yucatan Peninsula creating the Chicxulub crater. The crater has been dated and found to be coincident...- publication PDF
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Inertia-gravity waves spontaneously generated by jets and fronts, Part 1:...
The spontaneous generation of inertiaâgravity waves in idealized life cycles of baroclinic instability is investigated using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model. Two...- publication PDF
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Improvement of microphysical parameterization through observational...
Despite continual increases in numerical model resolution and significant improvements in the forecasting of many meteorological parameters, progress in quantitative...- publication PDF
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Tropical oceanic rainfall and sea surface temperature structure: Parsing...
Based upon on the findings of Y. Li and R. E. Carbone, the association of tropical rainfall with SST structure is further explored, with emphasis on the MJO passband. Analyses...- publication PDF
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Uncertain future of sustainable fisheries environment in eastern boundary...
Upwelling along ocean eastern boundaries is expected to intensify due to coastal wind strengthening driven by increasing land-sea contrast according to the Bakun hypothesis....- publication PDF
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A nutrient effect on the TEX86 paleotemperature proxy
The TEX86 paleotemperature proxy is widely used to reconstruct ocean surface temperatures over the past 100 million years. However, archaeal culture experiments show that...- publication PDF
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An intercomparative study of the effects of aircraft emissions on surface air quality
This study intercompares, among five global models, the potential impacts of all commercial aircraft emissions worldwide on surface ozone and particulate matter (PM2.5). The...- publication PDF
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Aviation turbulence forecasting at upper levels with machine learning...
We explore the use of machine learning (ML) techniques, namely, regression trees (RT), for the purpose of aviation turbulence forecasting at upper levels [20-45 kft (;6-14 km)...- publication PDF