A range of outcomes: The combined effects of internal variability and anthropogenic forcing on regional climate trends over Europe

Disentangling the effects of internal variability and anthropogenic forcing on regional climate trends remains a key challenge with far-reaching implications. Due to its largely unpredictable nature on timescales longer than a decade, internal climate variability limits the accuracy of climate model projections, introduces challenges in attributing past climate changes, and complicates climate model evaluation. Here, we highlight recent advances in climate modeling and physical understanding that have led to novel insights about these key issues. In particular, we synthesize new findings from large-ensemble simulations with Earth system models, observational large ensembles, and dynamical adjustment methodologies, with a focus on European climate.

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Related Links

Related Dataset #1 : CESM2 Large Ensemble Community Project

Related Software #1 : terrayl/Dynamico: Dynamico version v1.0.0

Related Software #2 : karenamckinnon/observational_large_ensemble: v1

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Author Deser, Clara
Phillips, Adam S.
Publisher UCAR/NCAR - Library
Publication Date 2023-02-15T00:00:00
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Topic Category geoscientificInformation
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Metadata Date 2023-08-18T18:41:56.983216
Metadata Record Identifier edu.ucar.opensky::articles:26083
Metadata Language eng; USA
Suggested Citation Deser, Clara, Phillips, Adam S.. (2023). A range of outcomes: The combined effects of internal variability and anthropogenic forcing on regional climate trends over Europe. UCAR/NCAR - Library. http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7hq43v0. Accessed 11 February 2025.

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