Asymmetry in the seasonal cycle of zonal-mean surface air temperature

At most latitudes, the seasonal cycle of zonal-mean surface air temperature is notably asymmetric: the length of the warming season is not equal to the length of the cooling season. The asymmetry varies spatially, with the cooling season being similar to 40 days shorter than the warming season in the subtropics and the warming season being similar to 100 days shorter than the cooling season at the poles. Furthermore, the asymmetry differs between the Northern Hemisphere and the Southern Hemisphere. Here, we show that these observed features are broadly captured in a simple model for the evolution of temperature forced by realistic insolation. The model suggests that Earth's orbital eccentricity largely determines the hemispheric contrast, and obliquity broadly dictates the meridional structure. Clouds, atmospheric heat flux convergence, and time-invariant effective surface heat capacity have minimal impacts on seasonal asymmetry. This simple, first-order picture has been absent from previous discussions of the surface temperature seasonal cycle.

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Copyright 2023 American Geophysical Union (AGU).


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Author Roach, Lettie A.
Eisenman, Ian
Wagner, Till J. W.
Donohoe, Aaron
Publisher UCAR/NCAR - Library
Publication Date 2023-05-28T00:00:00
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Topic Category geoscientificInformation
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Metadata Date 2023-08-18T18:28:08.860469
Metadata Record Identifier edu.ucar.opensky::articles:26382
Metadata Language eng; USA
Suggested Citation Roach, Lettie A., Eisenman, Ian, Wagner, Till J. W., Donohoe, Aaron. (2023). Asymmetry in the seasonal cycle of zonal-mean surface air temperature. UCAR/NCAR - Library. http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7h99958. Accessed 11 February 2025.

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