Impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment

The Global Land-Atmosphere Climate Experiment-Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (GLACE-CMIP5) is a multimodel experiment investigating the impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks in CMIP5 projections. We present here first GLACE-CMIP5 results based on five Earth System Models, focusing on impacts of projected changes in regional soil moisture dryness (mostly increases) on late 21st century climate. Projected soil moisture changes substantially impact climate in several regions in both boreal and austral summer. Strong and consistent effects are found on temperature, especially for extremes (about 1–1.5 K for mean temperature and 2–2.5 K for extreme daytime temperature). In the Northern Hemisphere, effects on mean and heavy precipitation are also found in most models, but the results are less consistent than for temperature. A direct scaling between soil moisture-induced changes in evaporative cooling and resulting changes in temperature mean and extremes is found in the simulations. In the Mediterranean region, the projected soil moisture changes affect about 25% of the projected changes in extreme temperature

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Author Seneviratne, Sonia
Wilhelm, Micah
Stanelle, Tanja
van den Hurk, Bart
Hagemann, Stefan
Berg, Alexis
Cheruy, Frederique
Higgins, Matthew
Meier, Arndt
Brovkin, Victor
Claussen, Martin
Ducharne, Agnès
Dufresne, Jean-Louis
Findell, Kirsten
Ghattas, Joséfine
Lawrence, David
Malyshev, Sergey
Rummukainen, Markku
Smith, Benjamin
Publisher UCAR/NCAR - Library
Publication Date 2013-10-16T00:00:00
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) Not Assigned
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Topic Category geoscientificInformation
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Metadata Date 2023-08-18T18:23:05.972826
Metadata Record Identifier edu.ucar.opensky::articles:13024
Metadata Language eng; USA
Suggested Citation Seneviratne, Sonia, Wilhelm, Micah, Stanelle, Tanja, van den Hurk, Bart, Hagemann, Stefan, Berg, Alexis, Cheruy, Frederique, Higgins, Matthew, Meier, Arndt, Brovkin, Victor, Claussen, Martin, Ducharne, Agnès, Dufresne, Jean-Louis, Findell, Kirsten, Ghattas, Joséfine, Lawrence, David, Malyshev, Sergey, Rummukainen, Markku, Smith, Benjamin. (2013). Impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment. UCAR/NCAR - Library. http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7x92c6m. Accessed 18 July 2025.

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