A community Ionosphere-Thermosphere Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) Tool: Geospace Dynamics Constellation example

Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) provide an effective way to evaluate the impact of assimilating data from a specific observing system on hindcasting, nowcasting, and forecasting of environmental systems. The NSF NCAR's Data Assimilation (DA) Research Testbed/Thermosphere-Ionosphere-Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (DART/TIEGCM) tool, to be hosted at the NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, serves as a valuable and accessible community resource for quantitatively evaluating the impact of observations from both current and future ionosphere-thermosphere (IT) observing systems. This study demonstrates the utility of DART/TIEGCM as an IT OSSE tool, using synthetic observations simulated using a currently planned NASA Geospace Dynamics Constellation (GDC) observing system design. Five sets of OSSEs are carried out to compare the effects of assimilating various combinations of prospective GDC observations (e.g., neutral temperature, neutral wind, neutral composition, atomic oxygen ion density, and ion and electron temperature) during a major geomagnetic storm period of the St Patrick's Day Storm on 17 March 2013. The maximum error reduction in neutral temperature and atomic ion oxygen density is 24.6% and 43.3% compared to the control experiment. These OSSEs indicate the benefits of coupled IT DA approaches implemented in DART/TIEGCM to maximize the impact of multi-parameter IT observations, such as those expected from the GDC mission. Although more work is required to draw any definitive conclusion on the GDC data impact, the study provides an illustrative example of how the DART/TIEGCM community tool can be used to evaluate observational impacts of planned or existing missions for geospace research and applications.