-
The change in the ENSO teleconnection under a low global warming scenario...
El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a main driver of climate variability worldwide, but the presence of atmospheric internal variability makes accurate assessments of its...- publication PDF
-
Reference upper-air observations for climate: Rationale, progress, and plans
While the global upper-air observing network has provided useful observations for operational weather forecasting for decades, its measurements lack the accuracy and long-term...- publication PDF
-
Global oscillatory modes in high-end climate modeling and reanalyses
Interannual oscillatory modes, atmospheric and oceanic, are present in several large regions of the globe. We examine here low-frequency variability (LFV) over the entire globe...- publication PDF
-
Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and...
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) occurs in three phases: neutral, warm (El Nino), and cool (La Nina). While classifying El Nino and La Nina is relatively straightforward,...- publication PDF
-
Verifying forecasts spatially
Numerous new methods have been proposed for using spatial information to better quantify and diagnose forecast performance when forecasts and observations are both available on...- publication PDF
-
Nitrous oxide profiling from infrared radiances (NOPIR): Algorithm...
Nitrous oxide (N2O) is the third most abundant anthropogenous greenhouse gas (after carbon dioxide and methane), with a long atmospheric lifetime and a continuously increasing...- publication PDF
-
Effects of the September 2005 solar flares and solar proton events on the...
This work investigates middle atmosphere effects of the September 2005 solar flares and solar proton events (SPEs). X-17 and X-6.2 flares occurred on 7 and 9 September,...- publication PDF
-
Interpretation of rank histograms for verifying ensemble forecasts
Rank histograms are a tool for evaluating ensemble forecasts. They are useful for determining the reliability of ensemble forecasts and for diagnosing errors in its mean and...- publication PDF
-
Evaluation and modification of microphysics schemes on the cold pool...
A merger-formation bow echo (MFBE) in southeast China during the pre-summer rainy season (PSRS) was simulated using three microphysics schemes including Thompson (THOM),...- publication PDF
-
An enhanced model of land water and energy for global hydrologic and...
LM3 is a new model of terrestrial water, energy, and carbon, intended for use in global hydrologic analyses and as a component of earth-system and physical-climate models. It is...- publication PDF
-
An approach for probabilistic forecasting of seasonal turbidity threshold exceedance
Though climate forecasts offer substantial promise for improving water resource oversight, additional tools are needed to translate these forecasts into water-quality-based...- publication PDF
-
Effects of anthropogenic forcing and natural variability on the 2018...
The Northeast Asian 2018 heatwave is an unlikely event without anthropogenic forcing; only two have occurred over the last 40 years. By 2050 they will become 1-in-4-yr events.- publication PDF
-
Concurrent sensitivities of an idealized deep convective storm to...
This study investigated the sensitivity of idealized deep convective storm simulations to microphysics parameterization, horizontal grid spacing (Δx), and environmental static...- publication PDF
-
Process-specific contributions to anomalous Java mixed layer cooling during...
Negative sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated with positive Indian Ocean Dipole (pIOD) events first appear in the seasonal upwelling zone along the southern coast...- publication PDF
-
Improvements in wintertime surface temperature variability in the Community...
The Community Earth System Model (CESM) is widely used for the prediction and understanding of climate variability and change. Accurate simulation of the behavior of near...- publication PDF
-
Challenges and prospects for reducing coupled climate model SST biases in...
Well-known problems trouble coupled general circulation models of the eastern Atlantic and Pacific Ocean basins. Model climates are significantly more symmetric about the...- publication PDF
-
Improved modeling of cloudy-sky actinic flux using satellite cloud retrievals
Clouds play a critical role in modulating tropospheric radiation and thus photochemistry. We develop a methodology for calculating the vertical distribution of tropospheric...- publication PDF
-
Response of air-sea carbon fluxes and climate to orbital forcing changes in...
A global general circulation model coupled to an ocean ecosystem model is used to quantify the response of carbon fluxes and climate to changes in orbital forcing. Compared to...- publication PDF
-
Reactive halogens increase the global methane lifetime and radiative forcing...
CH4 is the most abundant reactive greenhouse gas and a complete understanding of its atmospheric fate is needed to formulate mitigation policies. Current chemistry-climate...- publication PDF
-
A multiscale and multidisciplinary investigation of ecosystem-atmosphere CO₂...
A significant fraction of Earth consists of mountainous terrain. However, the question of how to monitor the surface-atmosphere carbon exchange over complex terrain has not been...- publication PDF
