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Robust land-ocean contrasts in energy and water cycle feedbacks
Building on recent observational evidence showing disproportionate increases in temperature and aridity over land in a warming climate, this study examines simulated land-ocean...- publication PDF
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Forced and internal variability of tropical cyclone track density in the...
Forced interannual-to-decadal variability of annual tropical cyclone (TC) track density in the western North Pacific between 1979 and 2008 is studied using TC tracks from...- publication PDF
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A generalization of Lorenz's model for the predictability of flows with many...
In a seminal paper, E. N. Lorenz proposed that flows with many scales of motion in which smaller-scale error spreads to larger scales and in which the error-doubling time...- publication PDF
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Moisture attribution and sensitivity analysis of a winter tornado outbreak
The tornado outbreak of 21-23 January 2017 caused 20 fatalities, more than 200 injuries, and over a billion dollars in damage in the Southeast United States. The event occurred...- publication PDF
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Use of North American and European air quality networks to evaluate global...
e test the current generation of global chemistryâclimate models in their ability to simulate observed, present-day surface ozone. Models are evaluated against hourly surface...- publication PDF
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Application of WRF 3DVAR to operational typhoon prediction in Taiwan: Impact...
In this paper, the impact of outer loop and partial cycling with the Weather Research and Forecasting Model's (WRF) three-dimensional variational data assimilation system...- publication PDF
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Radiative forcing from the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption
Volcanic sulfate aerosols in the stratosphere produce significant long-term solar and infrared radiative perturbations in the Earth's atmosphere and at the surface, which cause...- publication PDF
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Key drivers of ozone change and its radiative forcing over the 21st century
Over the 21st century changes in both tropospheric and stratospheric ozone are likely to have important consequences for the Earth's radiative balance. In this study, we...- publication PDF
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Modeling the whole atmosphere response to solar cycle changes in radiative...
The NCAR Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, version 3 (WACCM3), is used to study the atmospheric response from the surface to the lower thermosphere to changes in solar...- publication PDF
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Assessing and improving Noah-MP land model simulations for the central...
The Tibetan Plateau (TP) region experiences strong land-atmosphere interactions, and as an elevated heating source, significantly influences the formation of the Asian monsoon....- publication PDF
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Evaluating the impacts of cloud processing on resuspended aerosol particles...
Aerosol particles undergo physical and chemical changes during cloud processes. In this work, we quantified the changes in aerosol mixing state using a particle-resolved model....- publication PDF
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Earth System Predictability Across Timescales Community Workshop Report
As climate change increases the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, communities are facing growing vulnerability. Addressing this urgent challenge requires...- publication PDF
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HAO-Lowell-AFGL Solar Stellar Spectrophotometer Star Catalog
This article does not have an abstract or article summary.- publication PDF
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Snow coverage estimation using camera data for automated driving applications
In the U.S., over 38,000 fatalities occur every year due to automotive accidents where 24% of these accidents are attributable to inclement weather. Automated driving systems...- publication PDF
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Impact of assimilating meteorological observations on source emissions...
The impacts of assimilating meteorological observations on source emissions estimate and chemical simulations are investigated. Using 6-hr Global Forecast System (GFS) analyses...- publication PDF
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Increasing the skill of probabilistic forecasts: Understanding performance...
Four model-error schemes for probabilistic forecasts over the contiguous United States with the WRF-ARW mesoscale ensemble system are evaluated in regard to performance....- publication PDF
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Conservative split-explicit time integration methods for the compressible...
Historically, time-split schemes for numerically integrating the nonhydrostatic compressible equations of motion have not formally conserved mass and other first-order flux...- publication PDF
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A variational method for sea ice ridging in Earth system models
We have derived an analytic form of the thickness redistribution function, Psi, and compressive strength of sea ice using variational principles. By using the technique of...- publication PDF
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Challenging a global land surface model in a local socio-environmental system
Land surface models (LSMs) predict how terrestrial fluxes of carbon, water, and energy change with abiotic drivers to inform the other components of Earth system models. Here,...- publication PDF
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How the Great Plains Dust Bowl drought spread heat extremes around the...
Extraordinary heat extremes occurred in the 1930s in areas of the Northern Hemisphere far from the record setting heat over the US associated with the Great Plains Dust Bowl...- publication PDF