Last millennium climate and its variability in CCSM4

An overview of a simulation referred to as the "Last Millennium" (LM) simulation of the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), is presented. The CCSM4 LM simulation reproduces many large-scale climate patterns suggested by historical and proxy-data records, with Northern Hemisphere (NH) and Southern Hemisphere (SH) surface temperatures cooling to the early 1800s Common Era by ~0.5°C (NH) and ~0.3°C (SH), followed by warming to the present. High latitudes of both hemispheres show polar amplification of the cooling from the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) to the Little Ice Age (LIA) associated with sea ice increases. The LM simulation does not reproduce La Niña-like cooling in the eastern Pacific Ocean during the MCA relative to the LIA, as has been suggested by proxy reconstructions. Still, dry medieval conditions over the southwestern and central United States are simulated in agreement with proxy indicators for these regions. Strong global cooling is associated with large volcanic eruptions, with indications of multidecadal colder climate in response to larger eruptions. The CCSM4’s response to large volcanic eruptions captures some reconstructed patterns of temperature changes over Europe and North America, but not those of precipitation in the Asian monsoon region. The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) has higher variance at centennial periods in the LM simulation compared to the 1850 nontransient run, suggesting a long-term Atlantic Ocean response to natural forcings. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability modes show little or no change. CCSM4 does not simulate a persistent positive NAO or a prolonged period of negative PDO during the MCA, as suggested by some proxy reconstructions.

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Author Landrum, Laura
Otto-Bliesner, Bette
Wahl, Eugene
Conley, Andrew
Lawrence, Peter
Rosenbloom, Nan
Teng, Haiyan
Publisher UCAR/NCAR - Library
Publication Date 2013-02-01T00:00:00
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) Not Assigned
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Topic Category geoscientificInformation
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Metadata Date 2023-08-18T18:53:16.448717
Metadata Record Identifier edu.ucar.opensky::articles:12251
Metadata Language eng; USA
Suggested Citation Landrum, Laura, Otto-Bliesner, Bette, Wahl, Eugene, Conley, Andrew, Lawrence, Peter, Rosenbloom, Nan, Teng, Haiyan. (2013). Last millennium climate and its variability in CCSM4. UCAR/NCAR - Library. http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7tx3g35. Accessed 23 July 2025.

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