Intensification of mesoscale convective systems in the East Asian rainband over the past two decades

As one of the major producers of extreme precipitation, mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) have received much attention. Recently, MCSs over several hotpots, including the Sahel and US Great Plains, have been found to intensify under global warming. However, relevant studies on the East Asian rainband, another MCS hotpot, are scarce. Here, by using a novel rain-cell tracking algorithm on a high spatiotemporal resolution satellite precipitation product, we show that both the frequency and intensity of MCSs over the East Asian rainband have increased by 21.8% and 9.8% respectively over the past two decades (2000-2021). The more frequent and intense MCSs contribute nearly three quarters to the total precipitation increase. The changes in MCSs are caused by more frequent favorable large-scale water vapor-rich environments that are likely to increase under global warming. The increased frequency and intensity of MCSs have profound impacts on the hydroclimate of East Asia, including producing extreme events such as severe flooding.

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Author Li, P.
Song, F.
Chen, H.
Li, J.
Prein, Andreas
Zhang, W.
Zhou, T.
Zhuang, M.
Furtado, K.
Muetzelfeldt, M.
Schiemann, R.
Li, C.
Publisher UCAR/NCAR - Library
Publication Date 2023-08-28T00:00:00
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) Not Assigned
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Topic Category geoscientificInformation
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Metadata Date 2025-07-11T15:15:16.465149
Metadata Record Identifier edu.ucar.opensky::articles:26634
Metadata Language eng; USA
Suggested Citation Li, P., Song, F., Chen, H., Li, J., Prein, Andreas, Zhang, W., Zhou, T., Zhuang, M., Furtado, K., Muetzelfeldt, M., Schiemann, R., Li, C.. (2023). Intensification of mesoscale convective systems in the East Asian rainband over the past two decades. UCAR/NCAR - Library. https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7g164vz. Accessed 04 August 2025.

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