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Confronting Earth System Model trends with observations
Anthropogenically forced climate change signals are emerging from the noise of internal variability in observations, and the impacts on society are growing. For decades, Climate...- publication PDF
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ESD Reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting,...
The rationale for using multi-model ensembles in climate change projections and impacts research is often based on the expectation that different models constitute independent...- publication PDF
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Effects of atmospheric aerosols on heat stress over South Asia
The recent trend in global mean temperature is expected to increase the frequency, duration, and intensity of heat waves and heat stress all around the world, especially over...- publication PDF
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The multi-scale interactions of atmospheric phenomenon in mean and extreme...
Climate change increases the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation, which in combination with rising population enhances exposure to major floods. An improved...- publication PDF
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Multimodel assessment of the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere: Extratropics
A multimodel assessment of the performance of chemistry-climate models (CCMs) in the extratropical upper troposphere/lower stratosphere (UTLS) is conducted for the first time....- publication PDF
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Evaluation of 30 urban land surface models in the Urban-PLUMBER project:...
Accurately predicting weather and climate in cities is critical for safeguarding human health and strengthening urban resilience. Multimodel evaluations can lead to model...- publication PDF
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Middle atmosphere temperature trends in the twentieth and twenty-rirst...
We use Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model simulations made under various climate change scenarios to study the evolution of the global-mean temperature trend in the late...- publication PDF
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Point Correlations of Geopotential Height and Temperature at 30 mb and...
This report discusses teleconnection in the atmosphere and extends the analysis to the stratosphere. The intent of this document is to provide a more comprehensive view of...- publication PDF
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Present-day climate forcing and response from black carbon in snow
We apply our Snow, Ice, and Aerosol Radiative (SNICAR) model, coupled to a general circulation model with prognostic carbon aerosol transport, to improve understanding of...- publication PDF
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MesoVICT: Mesoscale Verification Inter-Comparison over Complex Terrain
The spatial forecast methods intercomparison project (ICP, http://www.ral.ucar.edu/projects/icp) was formed in 2007 with the aim of better understanding the rapidly increasing...- publication PDF
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Dissecting cirrus clouds: Navigating effects of turbulence on homogeneous...
Turbulent air motions determine the local environment in which cloud ice crystals form. Homogeneous freezing of aqueous solution droplets is the most fundamental pathway to...- publication PDF
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High-resolution global magnetohydrodynamic simulation of bursty bulk flows
A high-resolution global magnetohydrodynamic simulation is conducted with the Lyon-Fedder-Mobarry (LFM) model for idealized solar wind conditions. Within the simulation results...- publication PDF
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Getting ahead of flash drought: From early warning to early action
Flash droughts, characterized by their unusually rapid intensification, have garnered increasing attention within the weather, climate, agriculture, and ecological communities...- publication PDF
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Comparison of precipitable water derived from ground-based GPS measurements...
Precipitable water (PW) obtained from a permanent ground-based Global Positioning System (GPS) network on the Korean Peninsula was evaluated by using radiosonde measurements for...- publication PDF
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Concentric gravity waves in the mesosphere generated by deep convective...
Gravity waves in the mesopause region (80 - 105 km) may induce perturbations in OH Meinal Band emissions at â¼87 km. These perturbations can be observed by ground-based OH...- publication PDF
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Quantifying uncertainty in climatological fields from GPS radio occultation:...
Due to the measurement principle of the radio occultation (RO) technique, RO data are highly suitable for climate studies. RO profiles can be used to build climatological fields...- publication PDF
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Indirect and semi-direct aerosol campaign: The impact of Arctic aerosols on clouds
A comprehensive dataset of microphysical and radiative properties of aerosols and clouds in the boundary layer in the vicinity of Barrow, Alaska, was collected in April 2008...- publication PDF
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A new scenario framework for climate change research: The concept of shared...
The new scenario framework for climate change research envisions combining pathways of future radiative forcing and their associated climate changes with alternative pathways of...- publication PDF
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Model uncertainty in a mesoscale ensemble prediction system: Stochastic...
A multiphysics and a stochastic kinetic-energy backscatter scheme are employed to represent model uncertainty in a mesoscale ensemble prediction system using the Weather...- publication PDF
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Seasonal variability of rainfall and thunderstorm in Guinea over the period...
Republic of Guinea is one of the West African countries which share form a border with the southern part of the Sahel. It is located in the tropical area where the convective...- publication PDF