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Uncovering the forced climate response from a single ensemble member using...
Internal atmospheric variability fundamentally limits predictability of climate and obscures evidence of anthropogenic climate change regionally and on time scales of up to a...- publication PDF
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The role of snowmelt temporal pattern in flood estimation for a small...
Prior research confirmed the substantial bias from using precipitation-based intensity-duration-frequency curves (PREC-IDF) in design flood estimates and proposed next-...- publication PDF
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A class of deformational flow test cases for linear transport problems on the sphere
A class of new benchmark deformational flow test cases for the two-dimensional horizontal linear transport problems on the sphere is proposed. The scalar field follows complex...- publication PDF
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Synthesis of results from the North American Monsoon Experiment (NAME) Process Study
An international team of scientists from the United States, Mexico, and Central America carried out a major field campaign during the summer of 2004 to develop an improved...- publication PDF
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The impact of the QBO on the region of the tropical tropopause in QBOi...
The processes occurring in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) are of great importance for stratosphere-troposphere exchanges and the variability of the Earth's climate....- publication PDF
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Attribution of the late-twentieth-century rainfall decline in southwest Australia
There was a dramatic decrease in rainfall in the southwest of Australia (SWA) in the mid-1960s. A statistical method, based on the idea of analogous synoptic situations, is used...- publication PDF
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Observed Relationships Between the Urban Heat Island, Urban Pollution...
We used the mean air temperature and particulate matter concentration at northern and southern rural stations as rural background values to calculate the urban heat island...- publication PDF
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A comprehensive assessment of tropical stratospheric upwelling in the...
Specified dynamics (SD) schemes relax the circulation in climate models toward a reference meteorology to simulate historical variability. These simulations are widely used to...- publication PDF
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Comparing growth rates of simulated moist and dry convective thermals
The spreading rates of convective thermals are linked to their net entrainment, and previous literature has suggested differences in spreading rates between moist and dry...- publication PDF
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Fast nonparametric quantile regression with arbitrary smoothing methods
The calculation of nonparametric quantile regression curve estimates is often computational intensive, as typically an expensive nonlinear optimization problem is involved. This...- publication PDF
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The co-benefits of a low-carbon future for PM
There is considerable academic interest in the potential for air quality improvement as a co-benefit of climate change mitigation. Few studies use regional air quality models...- publication PDF
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A machine learning examination of hydroxyl radical differences among model...
The hydroxyl radical (OH) plays critical roles within the troposphere, such as determining the lifetime of methane (CH4), yet is challenging to model due to its fast cycling and...- publication PDF
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The SPARC water vapour assessment II: comparison of annual, semi-annual and...
In the framework of the second SPARC (Stratosphere-troposphere Processes And their Role in Climate) water vapour assessment (WAVAS-II), the amplitudes and phases of the annual,...- publication PDF
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A non-Gaussian analysis scheme using rank histograms for ensemble data assimilation
One challenge of geophysical data assimilation is to address the issue of non-Gaussianities in the distributions of the physical variables ensuing, in many cases, from nonlinear...- publication PDF
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The expanding footprint of rapid Arctic change
Arctic land ice is melting, sea ice is decreasing, and permafrost is thawing. Changes in these Arctic elements are interconnected, and most interactions accelerate the rate of...- publication PDF
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Campanian Ignimbrite volcanism, climate, and the final decline of the Neanderthals
The eruption of the Campanian Ignimbrite at ca. 40 ka coincided with the final decline of Neanderthals in Europe. Environmental stress associated with the eruption of the...- publication PDF
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Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and...
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) occurs in three phases: neutral, warm (El Nino), and cool (La Nina). While classifying El Nino and La Nina is relatively straightforward,...- publication PDF
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A Guide to the Data Systems of the High Altitude Observatory's Coronal...
This report describes the structure and operation of the Coronal Dynamics (C/D) Project's data system. The instrument system, based on the island of Hawaii, has been fully...- publication PDF
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Seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclones using GFDL SPEAR and HiFLOR-S
The seasonal prediction skill of tropical cyclone (TC) activity is evaluated using the Seamless System for Prediction and Earth System Research (SPEAR), a modeling system...- publication PDF
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Indian Ocean warming trend reduces Pacific warming response to anthropogenic...
A greater warming trend of sea surface temperature in the tropical Indian Ocean than in the tropical Pacific is a robust feature found in various observational data sets. Yet...- publication PDF