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Estimation of ambiguity in ensemble forecasts
Ambiguity is uncertainty in the prediction of forecast uncertainty, or in the forecast probability of a specific event, associated with random error in an ensemble forecast...- publication PDF
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The Pilatus unmanned aircraft system for lower atmospheric research
This paper presents details of the University of Colorado (CU) "Pilatus" unmanned research aircraft, assembled to provide measurements of aerosols, radiation and thermodynamics...- publication PDF
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Beyond the basics: Evaluating model-based precipitation forecasts using...
While traditional verification methods are commonly used to assess numerical model quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) using a grid-to-grid approach, they generally...- publication PDF
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Megacity impacts on regional ozone formation: Observations and WRF-Chem...
The MIRAGE-Shanghai experiment was designed to characterize the factors controlling regional air pollution near a Chinese megacity (Shanghai) and was conducted during September...- publication PDF
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Measuring fluxes of trace gases at regional scales by Lagrangian...
We present a general framework for designing and analyzing Lagrangian-type aircraft observations in order to measure surface fluxes of trace gases on regional scales. Lagrangian...- publication PDF
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TempestExtremes: a framework for scale-insensitive pointwise feature...
This paper describes a new open-source software framework for automated pointwise feature tracking that is applicable to a wide array of climate datasets using either structured...- publication PDF
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Detecting climate signals in populations across life histories
Climate impacts are not always easily discerned in wild populations as detecting climate change signals in populations is challenged by stochastic noise associated with natural...- publication PDF
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Emission factors and evolution of SO2 measured from biomass burning in...
Fires emit sufficient sulfur to affect local and regional air quality and climate. This study analyzes SO2 emission factors and variability in smoke plumes from US wildfires and...- publication PDF
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Improved radar ice water content retrieval algorithms using coincident...
Airborne radar reflectivity measurements at frequencies of 9.6 and 94 GHz, with collocated, in situ particle size distribution and ice water content measurements from the Cirrus...- publication PDF
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Chemical composition of atmospheric nanoparticles formed from nucleation in...
We report Thermal Desorption Chemical Ionization Mass Spectrometer (TDCIMS) measurements of the composition of ambient 10-33 nm diameter particles formed from nucleation on 16...- publication PDF
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Observed structure, evolution, and potential intensity of category 5...
Unprecedented observations of Hurricane Isabel (2003) at category 5 intensity were collected from 12 to 14 September. This study presents a detailed analysis of the inner-core...- publication PDF
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Use of the Earth's surface as a reference to correct airborne nadir-looking...
A technique for correcting radar radial velocity Vr in airborne, nadir-pointing radar data using the surface of Earth as a reference is proposed and tested. Operating airborne...- publication PDF
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Recent advances in seasonal and multi-annual tropical cyclone forecasting
Seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting has evolved substantially since its commencement in the early 1980s. However, present operational seasonal TC forecasting services...- publication PDF
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Comparing ocean surface boundary vertical mixing schemes including Langmuir...
Six recent Langmuir turbulence parameterization schemes and five traditional schemes are implemented in a common single-column modeling framework and consistently compared....- publication PDF
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Influence of land cover and soil moisture-based Brown Ocean effect on an...
Extreme flooding over southern Louisiana in mid-August of 2016 resulted from an unusual tropical low that formed and intensified over land. We used numerical experiments to...- publication PDF
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Black carbon aerosols and the third polar ice cap
Recent thinning of glaciers over the Himalayas (sometimes referred to as the third polar region) have raised concern on future water supplies since these glaciers supply water...- publication PDF
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Wintertime water vapor in the polar upper mesosphere and lower thermosphere:...
In this paper we present Odin submillimeter radiometer (Odin/SMR) water vapor measurements in the upper mesosphere and lower thermosphere with focus on the polar latitudes in...- publication PDF
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Impact of microphysics scheme complexity on the propagation of initial perturbations
The study of evolution characteristics of initial perturbations is an important subject in four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) and mesoscale predictability...- publication PDF
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1980* Field Season Wkshp Report / Nov. 28, 29, & 30, 1978 High Country Inn,...
This workshop produced the seven panel reports included here, which discuss various aspects of the work of CSD in considerable detail. Its main purpose is to gather sufficient...- publication PDF
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Assimilation of satellite-retrieved sea ice concentration and prospects for...
The current GFDL seasonal prediction system achieved retrospective sea ice extent (SIE) skill without direct sea ice data assimilation. Here we develop sea ice data...- publication PDF