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Inhomogeneous background error modeling and estimation over Antarctica
The structure of the analysis increments in a variational data assimilation scheme is strongly driven by the formulation of the background error covariance matrix, especially in...- publication PDF
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Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the...
The negative phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), a dominant mode of multi-decadal variability of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Pacific, contributed to...- publication PDF
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Ozone pollution: What can we see from space? A case study
Due to its impact on environment, tropospheric ozone received particular attention since several decades. Ground-based networks associated with regional chemical transport...- publication PDF
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Sensitivity of regional climate to global temperature and forcing
The sensitivity of regional climate to global average radiative forcing and temperature change is important for setting global climate policy targets and designing scenarios....- publication PDF
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Predictability and predictions
This essay describes the author's lifetime experiences with predictability theory and weather predictions.- publication PDF
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The National Hail Research Experiment Summer 1972 Summary Report
This report gives a brief appraisal of the conduct of the first operational season of the National Hail Research Experiment at the end of July. Participants were asked to...- publication PDF
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Estimation of mercury emissions from forest fires, lakes, regional and local...
Gaseous elemental mercury is a global pollutant that can lead to serious health concerns via deposition to the biosphere and bio-accumulation in the food chain. Hourly...- publication PDF
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Comparing partial and continuously cycling Ensemble Kalman Filter data...
Several limited-area 80-member ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) data assimilation systems with 15-km horizontal grid spacing were run over a computational domain spanning the...- publication PDF
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Potential climate impact of black carbon emitted by rockets
A new type of hydrocarbon rocket engine is expected to power a fleet of suborbital rockets for commercial and scientific purposes in coming decades. A global climate model...- publication PDF
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Partitioning of semivolatile surface-active compounds between bulk, surface...
We present a model study demonstrating that surface partitioning of volatile surfactants enhances their uptake by submicron liquid droplets. In submicron-sized droplets, surface...- publication PDF
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Attribution and impacts of upper ocean biases in CCSM3
The largest and potentially most important ocean near-surface biases are examined in the Community Climate System Model coupled simulation of present-day conditions. They are...- publication PDF
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Total column water vapor [in "State of the Climate in 2016"]
This was published as a section in "The State of the Climate in 2016", a Special Supplement edition of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.- publication PDF
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Testing and development of transfer functions for weighing precipitation...
Weighing precipitation gauges are used widely for the measurement of all forms of precipitation, and are typically more accurate than tipping-bucket precipitation gauges. This...- publication PDF
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NCAR's real-time convection-allowing ensemble project
Beginning 7 April 2015, scientists at the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) began producing daily, real-time, experimental, 10-member ensemble forecasts with...- publication PDF
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Evershed and counter-evershed flows in sunspot MHD simulations
There have been a few reports in the literature of counter-Evershed flows observed in well-developed sunspot penumbrae, i.e., flows directed toward the umbra along penumbral...- publication PDF
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Intercomparison between surrogate, explicit, and full treatments of VSL...
Many Chemistry-Climate Models (CCMs) include a simplified treatment of brominated very short-lived (VSLBr) species by assuming CH3Br as a surrogate for VSLBr. However,...- publication PDF
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A local least squares framework for ensemble filtering
Many methods using ensemble integrations of prediction models as integral parts of data assimilation have appeared in the atmospheric and oceanic literature. In general, these...- publication PDF
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Causes for asymmetric warming of sub-diurnal temperature responding to global warming
Defined as the difference between the daily maximum (T-max) and minimum surface air temperature (T-min), the diurnal temperature range (DTR) is critical to local climate,...- publication PDF
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A low-cost system for measuring horizontal winds from single-engine aircraft
The implementation and accuracy of a low-rate (~1 Hz) horizontal wind measurement system is described for a fixed-wing aircraft without modification to the airframe. The system...- publication PDF
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An integrated data analytics platform
An Integrated Science Data Analytics Platform is an environment that enables the confluence of resources for scientific investigation. It harmonizes data, tools and...- publication PDF