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Quantifying the role of internal variability in the temperature we expect to...
On short (15-year) to mid-term (30-year) time-scales how the Earth's surface temperature evolves can be dominated by internal variability as demonstrated by the global-warming...- publication PDF
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The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 - Part 2: Two interglacials, scientific...
Two interglacial epochs are included in the suite of Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project (PMIP4) simulations in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). The...- publication PDF
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Mesoscale modeling of offshore wind turbine wakes at the wind farm resolving...
he use of mesoscale modeling to reproduce the power deficits associated with wind turbine wakes in an offshore environment is analyzed. The study is based on multiyear (3 years)...- publication PDF
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Assimilating radar, surface and profiler data for the Sydney 2000 forecast...
A variational scheme for the analysis of low-level wind data is presented, and its performance during a recent field experiment is described. The analysis scheme finds an...- publication PDF
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Preparation of Kepler light curves for asteroseismic analyses
The Kepler mission is providing photometric data of exquisite quality for the asteroseismic study of different classes of pulsating stars. These analyses place particular...- publication PDF
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Estimating decadal predictability for the Southern Ocean using the GFDL CM2.1 Model
This study explores the potential predictability of the Southern Ocean (SO) climate on decadal time scales as represented in the GFDL CM2.1 model using prognostic methods....- publication PDF
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Balloon Stress-Band Analysis
A test program to photograph tropopause-level balloon ascent failures unexpectedly revealed the presence of a circumferential stress band in certain balloons which failed...- publication PDF
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Future changes in snowpack, snowmelt, and runoff potential extremes over...
Snowpack and snowmelt-driven extreme events (e.g., floods) have large societal consequences including infrastructure failures. However, it is not well understood how projected...- publication PDF
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An analysis of gravity wave spectral characteristics in moist baroclinic...
This study investigates gravity wave spectral characteristics based on high-resolution mesoscale simulations of idealized moist baroclinic jet-front systems with varying degrees...- publication PDF
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Reframing climate change assessments around risk: Recommendations for the US...
Climate change is a risk management challenge for society, with uncertain but potentially severe outcomes affecting natural and human systems, across generations. Managing...- publication PDF
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The impacts of using mixed physics in the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble
A well-known problem in high-resolution ensembles has been a lack of sufficient spread among members. Modelers often have used mixed physics to increase spread, but this can...- publication PDF
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Effective ice particle densities derived from aircraft data
In this study, aircraft data are used to derive effective ice particle densities. This density is defined as the ice particle mass divided by the volume of an equivalent...- publication PDF
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Evaluating and improving cloud phase in the Community Atmosphere Model...
Spaceborne lidar observations from the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) satellite are used to evaluate cloud amount and cloud phase in...- publication PDF
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The heated condensation framework. Part II: Climatological behavior of...
This is Part II of a two-part study introducing the heated condensation framework (HCF), which quantifies the potential convective state of the atmosphere in terms of...- publication PDF
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A numerical study of the effects of migrating tides on thermosphere midnight...
In this study, we employed the National Center for Atmospheric Research Thermosphere Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIEGCM) and the extended Canadian...- publication PDF
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The effect of solar radio bursts on the GNSS radio occultation signals
Solar radio burst (SRB) is the radio wave emission after a solar flare, covering a broad frequency range, originated from the Sun's atmosphere. During the SRB occurrence, some...- publication PDF
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Quantifying streamflow forecast skill elasticity to initial condition and...
Water resources management decisions commonly depend on monthly to seasonal streamflow forecasts, among other kinds of information. The skill of such predictions derives from...- publication PDF
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Monotone and conservative cascade remapping between spherical grids (CaRS):...
A high-order monotone and conservative cascade remapping algorithm between spherical grids (CaRS) is developed. This algorithm is specifically designed to remap between the...- publication PDF
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Acceleration of the Parameterization of Unified Microphysics Across Scales...
Cloud microphysics is one of the most time-consuming components in a climate model. In this study, we port the cloud microphysics parameterization in the Community Atmosphere...- publication PDF
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The roles of radiative forcing, sea surface temperatures, and atmospheric...
This study investigates the roles of radiative forcing, sea surface temperatures (SSTs), and atmospheric and land initial conditions in the summer warming episodes of the United...- publication PDF