Timescale dependence of the precipitation response to CO

Previous work has shown that estimates of climate sensitivity vary over time in response to abrupt CO 2 forcing in climate model simulations. The energy fluxes that drive warming in response to increasing CO 2 also influence precipitation, which prompts the question: Does the precipitation response therefore also vary over time? We investigate by examining the response of precipitation to warming forced by greenhouse gases—the hydrological sensitivity—in a set of millennial‐length climate simulations with multiple climate models, Long Run Model Intercomparison Project (LongRunMIP). We compare hydrological sensitivity calculated from three different timescales of the simulations: years 1–20, 21–150, and 151–1000. We show that the hydrological sensitivity lacks a consistent dependence on timescale, in contrast to climate sensitivity. Decomposition of the surface energy budget reveals that the relative muting of the multi‐model mean hydrological sensitivity is driven by surface downwelling shortwave flux.

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Author W. H. Kao
Pendergrass, Angeline
Publisher UCAR/NCAR - Library
Publication Date 2024-11-01T00:00:00
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Topic Category geoscientificInformation
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Metadata Date 2025-07-10T19:57:47.259549
Metadata Record Identifier edu.ucar.opensky::articles:42161
Metadata Language eng; USA
Suggested Citation W. H. Kao, Pendergrass, Angeline. (2024). Timescale dependence of the precipitation response to CO. UCAR/NCAR - Library. https://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7m049rt. Accessed 06 August 2025.

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