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Temporal variability in the Antarctic Polar Front (2002-2014)
We investigate intraannual to interannual variability in the Antarctic Polar Front (PF) using weekly PF realizations spanning 2002-2014 (found at...- publication PDF
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Ionospheric data assimilation and forecasting during storms
Ionospheric storms can have important effects on radio communications and navigation systems. Storm time ionospheric predictions have the potential to form part of effective...- publication PDF
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A joint role for forced and internally-driven variability in the decadal...
Despite the observed monotonic increase in greenhouse-gas concentrations, global mean temperature displays important decadal fluctuations typically attributed to both external...- publication PDF
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Stratospheric ozone and climate forcing sensitivity to cruise altitudes for...
The possibility of commercial and business supersonic aircraft that fly in the lower stratosphere is being discussed and specific designs are under consideration. Emissions from...- publication PDF
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Characteristics and variability of winter Northern Pacific atmospheric river flavors
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are intensive poleward moisture transport events that are essential to the global hydrological cycle and are often linked to extreme weather events. We...- publication PDF
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Global estimates of water-vapor-weighted mean temperature of the atmosphere...
Water-vapor-weighted atmospheric mean temperature, Tm, is a key parameter in the retrieval of atmospheric precipitable water (PW) from ground-based Global Positioning System...- publication PDF
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Estimated total emissions of trace gases from the Canberra Wildfires of...
In this paper we describe a new method for estimating trace gas emissions from large vegetation fires using satellite measurements of aerosol optical depth (AOD) at 550 nm,...- publication PDF
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The GFDL Global Atmosphere and Land Model AM4.0/LM4.0: 2. Model description,...
In Part 2 of this two-part paper, documentation is provided of key aspects of a version of the AM4.0/LM4.0 atmosphere/land model that will serve as a base for a new set of...- publication PDF
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Ionosphere variability during the 2009 SSW: Influence of the lunar...
To investigate ionosphere variability during the 2009 sudden stratosphere warming (SSW), we present simulation results that combine the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model...- publication PDF
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Climate responses to the splitting of a supercontinent: Implications for the...
Reconstructing deep time climate often relies on a limited number of data points, which can hinder inference of the large-scale climate state. Here we use an Earth system model...- publication PDF
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Communicating uncertainty in weather forecasts: A survey of the U.S. public
Weather forecasts are inherently uncertain, and meteorologists have information about weather forecast uncertainty that is not readily available to most forecast users. Yet...- publication PDF
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Chemical (Atmospheric) and Biological Measurements in Panama. Volume 1: General
This report presents the chemical measurements made by the Atmospheric Chemistry Group of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) for the project, Trace Chemistry of...- publication PDF
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The soil and plant biogeochemistry sampling design for The National...
Human impacts on biogeochemical cycles are evident around the world, from changes to forest structure and function due to atmospheric deposition, to eutrophication of surface...- publication PDF
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A new two-moment bulk stratiform cloud microphysics scheme in the Community...
A new two-moment stratiform cloud microphysics scheme in a general circulation model is described. Prognostic variables include cloud droplet and cloud ice mass mixing ratios...- publication PDF
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Evaluating the accuracy and uncertainty of atmospheric and wave model...
Various uncertainties exist in a hindcast due to the inabilities of numerical models to resolve all the complicated atmosphere-sea interactions, and the lack of certain ground...- publication PDF
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Trends in latent and sensible heat fluxes over the oceans surrounding the...
The trends in latent and sensible heat fluxes (LHF and SHF) over the oceans surrounding the Arctic Ocean and the contributions of the Arctic Oscillation, the Arctic dipole...- publication PDF
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Dynamical forcing of subseasonal variability in the Tropical Brewer-Dobson...
Upwelling across the tropical tropopause exhibits strong subseasonal variability superimposed on the well-known annual cycle, and these variations directly affect temperature...- publication PDF
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Examining tropical cyclone structure and intensification with the FLIGHT+...
A comprehensive examination of tropical cyclone (TC) kinematic and thermodynamic structure in the Atlantic basin is created from the Extended Flight Level Dataset for Tropical...- publication PDF
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Climate response at the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum to greenhouse gas...
The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM; 55 Ma) is of particular interest since it is regarded as a suitable analog to future climate change. In this study, the PETM climate...- publication PDF
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Challenges to understanding the Earth's ionosphere and thermosphere
We discuss, in a limited way, some of the challenges to advancing our understanding and description of the coupled plasma and neutral gas that make up the ionosphere and...- publication PDF