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Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves
Although hot spells and heat waves are considered extreme meteorological phenomena, the statistical theory of extreme values has only rarely, if ever, been applied. To address...- publication PDF
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Changes in ozone and precursors during two aged wildfire smoke events in the...
The relative importance of wildfire smoke for air quality over the western US is expected to increase as the climate warms and anthropogenic emissions decline. We report on in...- publication PDF
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Response of the equatorial Atlantic cold tongue to stratospheric aerosol...
By increasing Earth-atmosphere system albedo, Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering (SAG) using sulfur dioxide is an artificial potential means, with the goal to mitigate the...- publication PDF
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Intermittency in precipitation: duration, frequency, intensity, and amounts...
Intermittency is a core characteristic of precipitation, not well described by data and very poorly modeled. Detailed analyses are made of near-global gridded (about 1 degrees)...- publication PDF
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Mesospheric temperature and circulation response to the Hunga...
The Hunga Tonga Hunga-Ha'apai (HTHH) volcanic eruption on 15 January 2022 injected water vapor and SO2 into the stratosphere. Several months after the eruption, significantly...- publication PDF
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Mesoscale predictability of moist baroclinic waves: Experiments with...
This article does not have an abstract or article summary.- publication PDF
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Projected climate change impacts on hurricane storm surge inundation in the...
The properties of hurricanes directly influence storm surges; however, the implications of projected changes to the climate are unclear. Here, we simulate the storm surges of...- publication PDF
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Warm Arctic, increased winter sea ice growth?
We explore current variability and future projections of winter Arctic sea ice thickness and growth using data from climate models and satellite observations. Winter ice...- publication PDF
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The influence of a weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning...
The influences of a substantial weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) on the tropical Pacific climate mean state, the annual cycle, and ENSO...- publication PDF
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An evaluation of the performance of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis version 3
The performance of a new historical reanalysis, the NOAA-CIRES-DOE Twentieth Century Reanalysis version 3 (20CRv3), is evaluated via comparisons with other reanalyses and...- publication PDF
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Impact of natural and anthropogenic aerosols on stratocumulus and...
Cloud-system resolving simulations with the chemistry version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-Chem) model are used to quantify the relative impacts of regional...- publication PDF
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Ballooning Support for Cosmic-Ray Experiments: Joint United States - India...
NCAR organized and provided program management for a balloon expedition to study cosmic rays in the vicinity of the equator during the International Quiet Sun Year (IQSY). The...- publication PDF
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Particle-Based Lagrangian Filtering for Locating Wave-Generated Thermal...
Tides and tidally generated waves play a key role in modulating the heat budget of the nearshore environment, which can significantly affect the ecology of the coastal and reef...- publication PDF
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Insights into mechanisms governing forest carbon response to nitrogen...
In many forest ecosystems, nitrogen (N) deposition enhances plant uptake of carbon dioxide, thus reducing climate warming from fossil fuel emissions. Therefore, accurately...- publication PDF
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UâNet Kalman Filter (UNetKF): An example of machine learningâassisted...
Machine learning techniques have seen a tremendous rise in popularity in weather and climate sciences. Data assimilation (DA), which combines observations and numerical models,...- publication PDF
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Improved dust representation in the Community Atmosphere Model
Aerosol-climate interactions constitute one of the major sources of uncertainty in assessing changes in aerosol forcing in the anthropocene as well as understanding glacial-...- publication PDF
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A comprehensive survey of research towards AI-enabled unmanned aerial...
Wildfires have emerged as one of the most destructive natural disasters worldwide, causing catastrophic losses. These losses have underscored the urgent need to improve public...- publication PDF
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Noah Land Surface Model modifications to improve snowpack prediction in the...
Simulated snowpack by the Noah land surface model (LSM) shows an early depletion due to excessive sublimation and too early onset of snowmelt. To mitigate these deficiencies,...- publication PDF
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Anomalously large latent heat fluxes in low to moderate wind conditions...
An air-sea interaction field campaign was conducted in September of 2017 within the warm and cold eddy region of the western Northwest Pacific (WNP) (17.5 ring;-20.5 ring;N,...- publication PDF
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The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300
We present the greenhouse gas concentrations for the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and their extensions beyond 2100, the Extended Concentration Pathways (ECPs)....- publication PDF